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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending June 21, 2022

President: Republican primary, 2024

436LV
Jun.17-22
436LV
DeSantis
32%
DeSantis
32%

DeSantis

32%

Trump Jr.

17%

Pence

12%

Owens

4%

Cruz

4%

Rubio

3%

Pompeo

3%

Haley

3%

Romney

3%

T. Scott

2%

Abbott

2%

Cotton

1%

R. Scott

1%

Noem

1%

Kasich

1%

Cheney

1%

Hogan

1%

Bolton

0%
17%
Trump Jr.DeSantis+15
436LV
Jun.17-22
436LV
Trump Sr.
59%
Trump Sr.
59%

Trump Sr.

59%

DeSantis

15%

Pence

7%

Romney

4%

Owens

3%

Rubio

2%

Abbott

1%

Cotton

1%

Kasich

1%

T. Scott

1%

Hogan

1%

Cheney

1%

Bolton

0%
15%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+44

June 19, 2022

President: Republican primary, 2024

428RV
Jun.17-20
428RV
DeSantis
36%
DeSantis
36%

DeSantis

36%

Pence

16%

Trump Jr.

9%

Cruz

5%

Haley

4%

Romney

4%

Rubio

2%

Hawley

2%

Pompeo

1%

Cotton

1%

Abbott

1%

Cheney

1%

Christie

1%

Youngkin

1%

Hogan

0%

T. Scott

0%

Noem

0%

R. Scott

0%

Taylor Greene

0%
16%
PenceDeSantis+20
448LV
Jun.17-20
448LV
DeSantis
39%
DeSantis
39%

DeSantis

39%

Pence

18%

Trump Jr.

7%

Cruz

6%

Haley

3%

Romney

3%

Rubio

2%

Cheney

2%

Cotton

1%

Hawley

1%

Abbott

1%

Christie

1%

Youngkin

1%

Pompeo

0%

Hogan

0%

T. Scott

0%

R. Scott

0%

Taylor Greene

0%

Noem

0%
18%
PenceDeSantis+21

June 9, 2022

President: Republican primary, 2024

385RV
Jun.8-10
385RV
Trump Sr.
55%
Trump Sr.
55%

Trump Sr.

55%

DeSantis

12%

Pence

7%

Haley

4%

Rubio

2%

Cruz

2%

T. Scott

2%

Hawley

2%

Abbott

1%

Christie

1%

Stefanik

1%

Cotton

0%

Sasse

0%

R. Scott

0%

Noem

0%

Pompeo

0%
12%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+43

June 4, 2022

President: Republican primary, 2024

839RV
Jun.4-5
839RV
Trump Sr.
51%
Trump Sr.
51%

Trump Sr.

51%

DeSantis

18%

Pence

12%

Haley

4%

Romney

3%

Cruz

3%

Rubio

1%

T. Scott

1%

Pompeo

1%

Cheney

1%

Christie

1%

Hawley

0%

Cotton

0%

Noem

0%

Hogan

0%

R. Scott

0%
18%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+33

May 23, 2022

President: Republican primary, 2024

408LV
May 23-24
408LV
DeSantis
27%
DeSantis
27%

DeSantis

27%

Pence

23%

Cruz

12%

Rubio

5%

Haley

4%

Youngkin

4%

Pompeo

3%

Abbott

3%
23%
PenceDeSantis+4
408LV
May 23-24
408LV
Trump Sr.
54%
Trump Sr.
54%

Trump Sr.

54%

DeSantis

12%

Pence

10%

Cruz

4%

Haley

4%

Rubio

3%

Pompeo

2%

Abbott

1%
12%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+42
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