UPDATED Jan. 19, 2022, at 5:34 PM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary

Jan 13-18, 2022
468 LV
Jan 13-18, 2022
468LVDeSantis
26%

DeSantis

26%

Trump Jr.

18%

Pence

12%

Cruz

8%

Haley

6%

Romney

5%

Owens

3%

Cheney

1%

Rubio

1%

Noem

1%

Pompeo

1%

T. Scott

1%

Cotton

1%

Abbott

1%

Hogan

1%

Kasich

0%

R. Scott

0%

Bolton

0%
MoreDeSantis+8
President: Republican primary

Jan 13-18, 2022
468 LV
Jan 13-18, 2022
468LVTrump Sr.
53%

Trump Sr.

53%

DeSantis

13%

Pence

9%

Haley

4%

Romney

3%

Owens

2%

Rubio

2%

T. Scott

1%

Cheney

1%

Cotton

1%

Abbott

1%

Hogan

1%

Bolton

1%

Kasich

0%
MoreTrump Sr.+40
President: Republican primary

Jan 6, 2022
501 LV
Jan 6, 2022
501LVTrump Sr.
36%

Trump Sr.

36%

DeSantis

19%

Cheney

6%

Cruz

5%

Haley

4%

Pence

4%

Christie

2%

Rubio

2%

Pompeo

1%
MoreTrump Sr.+17

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Jan. 4, 2022

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary

Dec 14-20, 2021
306 A
Dec 14-20, 2021
306ATrump Sr.
55%

Trump Sr.

55%

DeSantis

20%

Haley

7%

Pence

6%

Cruz

6%

T. Scott

4%

Pompeo

2%
MoreTrump Sr.+35

Dec. 29, 2021

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary

Dec 13-17, 2021
1,592 A
Dec 13-17, 2021
1,592ATrump Sr.
54%

Trump Sr.

54%

DeSantis

11%

Pence

8%

Haley

4%

Cruz

3%

Abbott

2%

Christie

2%

Rubio

2%

Pompeo

1%

Hawley

1%
MoreTrump Sr.+43

Dec. 26, 2021

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary

Dec 9-13, 2021
420 RV
Dec 9-13, 2021
420RVTrump Sr.
43%

Trump Sr.

43%

DeSantis

26%

Pence

5%

Haley

5%

Carlson

2%

Rubio

2%

Youngkin

1%
MoreTrump Sr.+17
President: Republican primary

Dec 9-13, 2021
499 A
Dec 9-13, 2021
499ATrump Sr.
44%

Trump Sr.

44%

DeSantis

23%

Pence

6%

Haley

5%

Carlson

2%

Rubio

1%

Youngkin

1%
MoreTrump Sr.+21

Dec. 19, 2021

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary

Dec 1-4, 2021
Dec 1-4, 2021
Trump Sr.
60%

Trump Sr.

60%

DeSantis

11%

Pence

9%

Haley

3%

Cruz

3%

Rubio

2%

Christie

1%

Hawley

1%

R. Scott

1%

T. Scott

1%

Pompeo

1%

Stefanik

0%

Abbott

0%

Noem

0%

Sasse

0%

Cotton

0%
MoreTrump Sr.+49
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