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Who’s ahead in New Hampshire?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Dec. 12, 2022

President: Republican primary, New Hampshire, 2024

434LV
Dec.5-13
434LV
DeSantis
33%
DeSantis
33%

DeSantis

33%

Trump

32%

Pence

3%
32%
TrumpDeSantis+1

Nov. 12, 2022

President: Republican primary, New Hampshire, 2024

401LV
Nov.11-13
401LV
DeSantis
52%
DeSantis
52%

DeSantis

52%

Trump

37%
37%
Trump  DeSantis+15

Aug. 10, 2022

President: Republican primary, New Hampshire, 2024

820RV
Aug.9-11
820RV
Trump
50%
Trump
50%

Trump

50%

DeSantis

29%

Cheney

4%

Haley

3%

Pence

3%

Cruz

1%

Pompeo

1%

T. Scott

1%

Hogan

0%
29%
DeSantisTrump+21

Aug. 9, 2022

President: Republican primary, New Hampshire, 2024

300LV
Aug.7-10
300LV
DeSantis
45%
DeSantis
45%

DeSantis

45%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Even

July 7, 2022

President: Republican primary, New Hampshire, 2024

475RV
Jul.5-8
475RV
Trump
41%
Trump
41%

Trump

41%

DeSantis

22%

Pence

1%

Paul

1%

Haley

1%

Sununu

1%

Pompeo

1%
22%
DeSantisTrump+19
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