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Who’s ahead in New Hampshire?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 12, 2022

President: Republican primary, New Hampshire, 2024

401LV
Nov.11-13
401LV
DeSantis
52%
DeSantis
52%

DeSantis

52%

Trump Sr.

37%
37%
Trump Sr.  DeSantis+15

Aug. 10, 2022

President: Republican primary, New Hampshire, 2024

820RV
Aug.9-11
820RV
Trump Sr.
50%
Trump Sr.
50%

Trump Sr.

50%

DeSantis

29%

Cheney

4%

Haley

3%

Pence

3%

Cruz

1%

Pompeo

1%

T. Scott

1%

Hogan

0%
29%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+21

Aug. 9, 2022

President: Republican primary, New Hampshire, 2024

300LV
Aug.7-10
300LV
DeSantis
45%
DeSantis
45%

DeSantis

45%

Trump Sr.

45%
45%
Trump Sr.  Even

July 7, 2022

President: Republican primary, New Hampshire, 2024

475RV
Jul.5-8
475RV
Trump Sr.
41%
Trump Sr.
41%

Trump Sr.

41%

DeSantis

22%

Pence

1%

Paul

1%

Haley

1%

Sununu

1%

Pompeo

1%
22%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+19

June 19, 2022

President: Republican primary, New Hampshire, 2024

318LV
Jun.16-20
318LV
DeSantis
39%
DeSantis
39%

DeSantis

39%

Trump Sr.

37%

Pence

9%

Haley

6%

Cruz

1%

Noem

1%

Pompeo

1%

Cotton

0%

R. Scott

0%

T. Scott

0%
37%
Trump Sr.DeSantis+2
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