UPDATED Aug. 9, 2022, at 3:43 PM

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Who’s ahead in New Hampshire?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending July 7, 2022

President: Republican primary, New Hampshire, 2024

475RV
Jul.5-8
475RV
Trump Sr.
41%
Trump Sr.
41%

Trump Sr.

41%

DeSantis

22%

Pence

1%

Paul

1%

Haley

1%

Sununu

1%

Pompeo

1%
22%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+19

June 19, 2022

President: Republican primary, New Hampshire, 2024

318LV
Jun.16-20
318LV
DeSantis
39%
DeSantis
39%

DeSantis

39%

Trump Sr.

37%

Pence

9%

Haley

6%

Cruz

1%

Noem

1%

Pompeo

1%

Cotton

0%

R. Scott

0%

T. Scott

0%
37%
Trump Sr.DeSantis+2

Oct. 17, 2021

President: Republican primary, New Hampshire, 2024

441LV
Oct.14-18
441LV
Trump Sr.
43%
Trump Sr.
43%

Trump Sr.

43%

DeSantis

18%

Romney

7%

Haley

6%

Pence

4%

Cruz

2%

Cotton

1%

Noem

1%

Pompeo

0%
18%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+25

July 18, 2021

President: Republican primary, New Hampshire, 2024

770LV
Jul.15-19
770LV
Trump Sr.
47%
Trump Sr.
47%

Trump Sr.

47%

DeSantis

19%

Haley

6%

Pence

5%

Cruz

2%

Noem

2%

Cotton

0%

Hawley

0%

Pompeo

0%
19%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+28

May 9, 2021

President: Republican primary, New Hampshire, 2024

635RV
May 7-10
635RV
Trump Sr.
52%
Trump Sr.
52%

Trump Sr.

52%

DeSantis

20%

Haley

7%

Pence

4%

Rubio

2%

Noem

2%

Cruz

2%

Romney

1%

Kasich

0%

T. Scott

0%

Cheney

0%
20%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+32
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