UPDATED Jun. 12, 2021, at 7:46 AM

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Who’s ahead in New Hampshire?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary N.H.
N.H.
May 7-10, 2021
635 RV
May 7-10, 2021
635RVTrump Sr.
52%

Trump Sr.

52%

DeSantis

20%

Haley

7%

Pence

4%

Rubio

2%

Noem

2%

Cruz

2%

Romney

1%

Kasich

0%

T. Scott

0%

Cheney

0%
MoreTrump Sr.+32

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

April 13, 2021

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary N.H.
N.H.
Mar 5-11, 2021
Mar 5-11, 2021
DeSantis
25%

DeSantis

25%

Pence

20%

Cruz

12%

Romney

11%

Haley

7%

Pompeo

4%

Noem

1%
MoreDeSantis+5
President: Republican primary N.H.
N.H.
Mar 5-11, 2021
400 RV
Mar 5-11, 2021
400RVDeSantis
21%

DeSantis

21%

Pence

18%

Romney

15%

Cruz

10%

Haley

7%

Pompeo

3%

Noem

1%
MoreDeSantis+3
President: Republican primary N.H.
N.H.
Mar 5-11, 2021
Mar 5-11, 2021
Trump Sr.
62%

Trump Sr.

62%

Romney

8%

Pence

6%

DeSantis

5%

Haley

4%

Cruz

2%

Pompeo

0%

Noem

0%
MoreTrump Sr.+54
President: Republican primary N.H.
N.H.
Mar 5-11, 2021
400 RV
Mar 5-11, 2021
400RVTrump Sr.
52%

Trump Sr.

52%

Romney

13%

Pence

6%

DeSantis

5%

Haley

3%

Cruz

1%

Pompeo

0%

Noem

0%
MoreTrump Sr.+39

Jan. 19, 2021

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary N.H.
N.H.
Nov 30-Dec 3, 2020
624 RV
Nov 30-Dec 3, 2020
624RVPence
25%

Pence

25%

Trump Jr.

14%

Haley

12%

Cruz

10%

Romney

8%

Cotton

6%

Carlson

4%

Rubio

4%

T. Scott

3%
MorePence+11
President: Republican primary N.H.
N.H.
Nov 30-Dec 3, 2020
624 RV
Nov 30-Dec 3, 2020
624RVTrump Sr.
57%

Trump Sr.

57%

Romney

7%

Haley

7%

Pence

6%

Cruz

4%

Trump Jr.

3%

Rubio

2%

T. Scott

2%

Cotton

2%

Carlson

1%
MoreTrump Sr.+49

Feb. 9, 2020

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary N.H.
N.H.
Feb 6-9, 2020
212 LV
Feb 6-9, 2020
212LVTrump
90%

Trump

90%

Weld

7%
7%
WeldTrump+83

Feb. 8, 2020

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary N.H.
N.H.
Feb 8-9, 2020
500 LV
Feb 8-9, 2020
500LVTrump
84%

Trump

84%

Weld

16%
16%
WeldTrump+68
President: Republican primary N.H.
N.H.
Feb 5-8, 2020
440 LV
Feb 5-8, 2020
440LVTrump
71%

Trump

71%

Weld

8%

Walsh

6%

De La Fuente

3%
MoreTrump+63
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