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Who’s ahead in North Carolina?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Dec. 10, 2022

President: Republican primary, North Carolina, 2024

500LV
Dec.8-11
500LV
DeSantis
56%
DeSantis
56%

DeSantis

56%

Trump

35%
35%
Trump  DeSantis+22

July 23, 2022

President: Republican primary, North Carolina, 2024

149LV
Jul.22-24
149LV
Trump
37%
Trump
37%

Trump

37%

DeSantis

27%

Pence

6%

Rubio

5%

Cruz

3%

Cheney

3%

Christie

1%

Pompeo

1%
27%
DeSantisTrump+10

April 27, 2022

President: Republican primary, North Carolina, 2024

534LV
Apr.25-28
534LV
Trump
52%
Trump
52%

Trump

52%

DeSantis

23%

Haley

5%

Pence

4%

T. Scott

4%

Cruz

2%
23%
DeSantisTrump+29

April 9, 2022

President: Republican primary, North Carolina, 2024

600LV
Apr.6-10
600LV
DeSantis
32%
DeSantis
32%

DeSantis

32%

Cruz

11%

Pence

9%

Haley

8%

Pompeo

5%

Noem

2%

T. Scott

2%
11%
CruzDeSantis+22
600LV
Apr.6-10
600LV
Trump
45%
Trump
45%

Trump

45%

DeSantis

19%

Haley

8%

Pence

6%

Cruz

6%

Pompeo

2%

T. Scott

1%

Noem

1%
19%
DeSantisTrump+27

April 2, 2022

President: Republican primary, North Carolina, 2024

600LV
Apr.1-3
600LV
Trump
45%
Trump
45%

Trump

45%

DeSantis

26%

Haley

8%

Pence

6%

Cruz

2%
26%
DeSantisTrump+19
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