See who’s ahead in the 2021 Virginia governor’s race

UPDATED Oct. 1, 2021, at 8:21 AM

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Who’s ahead in North Carolina?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Jan. 19, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary N.C.
N.C.
Nov 30-Dec 2, 2020
221 LV
Nov 30-Dec 2, 2020
221LVPence
48%

Pence

48%

Romney

10%

Cruz

9%

Haley

9%

Rubio

3%
MorePence+38
President: Republican primary N.C.
N.C.
Nov 30-Dec 2, 2020
221 LV
Nov 30-Dec 2, 2020
221LVTrump Sr.
76%

Trump Sr.

76%

Haley

6%

Cruz

3%

Romney

3%

Rubio

2%
MoreTrump Sr.+70

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

March 1, 2020

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary N.C.
N.C.
Feb 21-28, 2020
246 LV
Feb 21-28, 2020
246LVTrump
91%

Trump

91%

Walsh

4%

Weld

3%
MoreTrump+87
President: Republican primary N.C.
N.C.
Feb 21-28, 2020
443 RV
Feb 21-28, 2020
443RVTrump
89%

Trump

89%

Walsh

4%

Weld

4%
MoreTrump+85

Feb. 29, 2020

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary N.C.
N.C.
Feb 23-27, 2020
410 LV
Feb 23-27, 2020
410LVTrump
93%

Trump

93%

Weld

6%
6%
WeldTrump+87
President: Republican primary N.C.
N.C.
Feb 23-27, 2020
714 RV
Feb 23-27, 2020
714RVTrump
90%

Trump

90%

Weld

8%
8%
WeldTrump+82

Feb. 27, 2020

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary N.C.
N.C.
Feb 16-24, 2020
353 LV
Feb 16-24, 2020
353LVTrump
85%

Trump

85%

Walsh

3%

Weld

2%
MoreTrump+82

Feb. 17, 2020

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary N.C.
N.C.
Feb 13-16, 2020
501 LV
Feb 13-16, 2020
501LVTrump
91%

Trump

91%

Weld

5%
5%
WeldTrump+86
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