UPDATED Aug. 9, 2022, at 3:43 PM

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Who’s ahead in North Carolina?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending July 23, 2022

President: Republican primary, North Carolina, 2024

149LV
Jul.22-24
149LV
Trump Sr.
37%
Trump Sr.
37%

Trump Sr.

37%

DeSantis

27%

Pence

6%

Rubio

5%

Cruz

3%

Cheney

3%

Christie

1%

Pompeo

1%
27%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+10

April 27, 2022

President: Republican primary, North Carolina, 2024

534LV
Apr.25-28
534LV
Trump Sr.
52%
Trump Sr.
52%

Trump Sr.

52%

DeSantis

23%

Haley

5%

Pence

4%

T. Scott

4%

Cruz

2%
23%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+29

April 9, 2022

President: Republican primary, North Carolina, 2024

600LV
Apr.6-10
600LV
DeSantis
32%
DeSantis
32%

DeSantis

32%

Cruz

11%

Pence

9%

Haley

8%

Pompeo

5%

Noem

2%

T. Scott

2%
11%
CruzDeSantis+22
600LV
Apr.6-10
600LV
Trump Sr.
45%
Trump Sr.
45%

Trump Sr.

45%

DeSantis

19%

Haley

8%

Pence

6%

Cruz

6%

Pompeo

2%

T. Scott

1%

Noem

1%
19%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+27

April 2, 2022

President: Republican primary, North Carolina, 2024

600LV
Apr.1-3
600LV
Trump Sr.
45%
Trump Sr.
45%

Trump Sr.

45%

DeSantis

26%

Haley

8%

Pence

6%

Cruz

2%
26%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+19

Jan. 8, 2022

President: Republican primary, North Carolina, 2024

600LV
Jan.7-9
600LV
Trump Sr.
47%
Trump Sr.
47%

Trump Sr.

47%

DeSantis

19%

Haley

8%

Pence

5%

Cruz

2%

T. Scott

2%

Noem

1%
19%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+27
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