See who’s ahead in the 2021 Virginia governor’s race

UPDATED Oct. 1, 2021, at 8:21 AM

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Who’s ahead in Texas?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Feb. 29, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary Texas
Texas
Feb 23-27, 2020
621 LV
Feb 23-27, 2020
621LVTrump
94%

Trump

94%

Weld

4%
4%
WeldTrump+90
President: Republican primary Texas
Texas
Feb 23-27, 2020
1,118 RV
Feb 23-27, 2020
1,118RVTrump
91%

Trump

91%

Weld

5%
5%
WeldTrump+86
President: Republican primary Texas
Texas
Feb 17-26, 2020
567 LV
Feb 17-26, 2020
567LVTrump
86%

Trump

86%

Weld

6%
6%
WeldTrump+80

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Feb. 1, 2020

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary Texas
Texas
Jan 21-30, 2020
445 LV
Jan 21-30, 2020
445LVTrump
88%

Trump

88%

Walsh

4%

Weld

2%
MoreTrump+84
President: Republican primary Texas
Texas
Jan 21-30, 2020
552 RV
Jan 21-30, 2020
552RVTrump
82%

Trump

82%

Walsh

4%

Weld

2%
MoreTrump+78

Dec. 10, 2019

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary Texas
Texas
Dec 4-9, 2019
537 LV
Dec 4-9, 2019
537LVTrump
86%

Trump

86%

Walsh

4%

Weld

3%
MoreTrump+82

Nov. 17, 2019

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary Texas
Texas
Nov 5-14, 2019
597 RV
Nov 5-14, 2019
597RVTrump
78%

Trump

78%

Sanford

4%

Walsh

1%

Weld

1%
MoreTrump+74

Aug. 5, 2019

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary Texas
Texas
Aug 1-3, 2019
482 LV
Aug 1-3, 2019
482LVTrump
90%

Trump

90%

Weld

10%
10%
WeldTrump+80
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