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Who’s ahead in Texas?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Dec. 20, 2022

President: Republican primary, Texas, 2024

1,051LV
Dec.19-21
1,051LV
Trump
37%
Trump
37%

Trump

37%

DeSantis

36%

Cruz

4%

Haley

4%

Pence

4%

Pompeo

2%

T. Scott

1%
36%
DeSantisTrump+1

Nov. 27, 2022

President: Republican primary, Texas, 2024

860LV
Nov.27-28
860LV
Trump
37%
Trump
37%

Trump

37%

DeSantis

34%

Pence

5%

Haley

4%

Cruz

3%

Pompeo

2%

T. Scott

1%
34%
DeSantisTrump+3

Nov. 12, 2022

President: Republican primary, Texas, 2024

1,099LV
Nov.12-13
1,099LV
DeSantis
66%
DeSantis
66%

DeSantis

66%

Pence

8%

Haley

5%

Pompeo

3%

T. Scott

2%
8%
PenceDeSantis+58
1,099LV
Nov.12-13
1,099LV
DeSantis
43%
DeSantis
43%

DeSantis

43%

Trump

32%

Pence

5%

Haley

4%

T. Scott

1%

Pompeo

1%
32%
TrumpDeSantis+11

Oct. 22, 2022

President: Republican primary, Texas, 2024

823RV
Oct.19-23
823RV
DeSantis
64%
DeSantis
64%

DeSantis

64%

Cruz

8%

Abbott

8%

Haley

5%

Pence

4%
8%
CruzDeSantis+56
823RV
Oct.19-23
823RV
Trump
46%
Trump
46%

Trump

46%

DeSantis

29%

Abbott

4%

Pence

4%

Cruz

3%

Haley

3%
29%
DeSantisTrump+17

Sept. 6, 2022

President: Republican primary, Texas, 2024

378LV
Aug.31-Sep.7
378LV
Trump
53%
Trump
53%

Trump

53%

DeSantis

37%
37%
DeSantis  Trump+16
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