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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

SAMPLE TYPES:

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

DatesSamplePollsterResultNet result
Dates
Sample
PollsterResult

Polls ending Jan. 14, 2025

U.S. Senate, Georgia, 2026, General election

Jan. 14-15, 2025
500LV
Jan. 14-15, 2025
500LV
Ossoff
46%
Ossoff
46%

Ossoff

46%

Raffensperger

32%
32%
Raffensperger  Ossoff+14
Jan. 14-15, 2025
500LV
Jan. 14-15, 2025
500LV
Ossoff
44%
Ossoff
44%

Ossoff

44%

McCormick

33%
33%
McCormick  Ossoff+11
Jan. 14-15, 2025
500LV
Jan. 14-15, 2025
500LV
Ossoff
47%
Ossoff
47%

Ossoff

47%

King

31%
31%
King  Ossoff+16
Jan. 14-15, 2025
500LV
Jan. 14-15, 2025
500LV
Ossoff
44%
Ossoff
44%

Ossoff

44%

Collins

34%
34%
Collins  Ossoff+10
Jan. 14-15, 2025
500LV
Jan. 14-15, 2025
500LV
Ossoff
45%
Ossoff
45%

Ossoff

45%

Carter

32%
32%
Carter  Ossoff+13
Jan. 14-15, 2025
500LV
Jan. 14-15, 2025
500LV
Ossoff
40%
Ossoff
40%

Ossoff

40%

Kemp

46%
46%
Kemp  Kemp+6

U.S. Senate, Virginia, 2026, General election

Dec. 18-Jan. 15, 2025
806A
Dec. 18-Jan. 15, 2025
806A
Warner
45%
Warner
45%

Warner

45%

Youngkin

38%
38%
Youngkin  Warner+7

Jan. 5, 2025

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2026, Republican primary

Jan. 4-6, 2025
LV
Jan. 4-6, 2025
LV
Paxton
42%
Paxton
42%

Paxton

42%

Cornyn

34%
34%
Cornyn  Paxton+8

Nov. 28, 2024

U.S. Senate, North Carolina, 2026, Republican primary

Nov. 26-29, 2024
LV
Nov. 26-29, 2024
LV
L. Trump
65%
L. Trump
65%

L. Trump

65%

Tillis

11%
11%
Tillis  L. Trump+54

U.S. Senate, North Carolina, 2026, General election

Nov. 26-29, 2024
800LV
Nov. 26-29, 2024
800LV
Cooper
46%
Cooper
46%

Cooper

46%

L. Trump

44%
44%
L. Trump  Cooper+1
Nov. 26-29, 2024
800LV
Nov. 26-29, 2024
800LV
Cooper
45%
Cooper
45%

Cooper

45%

Tillis

44%
44%
Tillis  Cooper+1

Nov. 3, 2024

U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 3-4, 2024
869LV
Nov. 3-4, 2024
869LV
Baldwin
49%
Baldwin
49%

Baldwin

49%

Hovde

48%
48%
Hovde  Baldwin+1

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 3-4, 2024
1,840LV
Nov. 3-4, 2024
1,840LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

47%
47%
McCormick  Casey+3
Nov. 1-4, 2024
915LV
Nov. 1-4, 2024
915LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

42%

Thomas

1%

Hazou

1%

Selker

0%
42%
McCormickCasey+8

U.S. Senate, Nevada, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 3-4, 2024
707LV
Nov. 3-4, 2024
707LV
Rosen
48%
Rosen
48%

Rosen

48%

Brown

43%
43%
Brown  Rosen+6

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 3-4, 2024
1,113LV
Nov. 3-4, 2024
1,113LV
Slotkin
49%
Slotkin
49%

Slotkin

49%

Rogers

48%
48%
Rogers  Slotkin+1

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 3-4, 2024
875LV
Nov. 3-4, 2024
875LV
Gallego
48%
Gallego
48%

Gallego

48%

Lake

48%
48%
Lake  Lake+1

U.S. Senate, Ohio, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-4, 2024
1,095LV
Nov. 2-4, 2024
1,095LV
Brown
48%
Brown
48%

Brown

48%

Moreno

48%
48%
Moreno  Moreno+1
Nov. 1-4, 2024
1,022LV
Nov. 1-4, 2024
1,022LV
Brown
46%
Brown
46%

Brown

46%

Moreno

49%
49%
Moreno  Moreno+3

U.S. Senate, Virginia, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-4, 2024
2,202LV
Nov. 1-4, 2024
2,202LV
Kaine
53%
Kaine
53%

Kaine

53%

Cao

44%
44%
Cao  Kaine+9

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-4, 2024
2,434LV
Nov. 1-4, 2024
2,434LV
Allred
46%
Allred
46%

Allred

46%

Cruz

53%
53%
Cruz  Cruz+7

U.S. Senate, Montana, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-4, 2024
752LV
Nov. 1-4, 2024
752LV
Tester
39%
Tester
39%

Tester

39%

Sheehy

50%
50%
Sheehy  Sheehy+11

U.S. Senate, Minnesota, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-4, 2024
2,065LV
Nov. 1-4, 2024
2,065LV
Klobuchar
53%
Klobuchar
53%

Klobuchar

53%

White

41%
41%
White  Klobuchar+11

Nov. 2, 2024

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3, 2024
750LV
Nov. 2-3, 2024
750LV
Gallego
50%
Gallego
50%

Gallego

50%

Lake

47%
47%
Lake  Gallego+3
Nov. 1-3, 2024
1,090LV
Nov. 1-3, 2024
1,090LV
Gallego
49%
Gallego
49%

Gallego

49%

Lake

49%
49%
Lake  Gallego+1
Nov. 1-3, 2024
801RV
Nov. 1-3, 2024
801RV
Gallego
51%
Gallego
51%

Gallego

51%

Lake

48%
48%
Lake  Gallego+2

U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Baldwin
48%
Baldwin
48%

Baldwin

48%

Hovde

47%
47%
Hovde  Baldwin+1
Nov. 1-3, 2024
1,086LV
Nov. 1-3, 2024
1,086LV
Baldwin
48%
Baldwin
48%

Baldwin

48%

Hovde

48%
48%
Hovde  Hovde+1
Nov. 1-3, 2024
835RV
Nov. 1-3, 2024
835RV
Baldwin
51%
Baldwin
51%

Baldwin

51%

Hovde

49%
49%
Hovde  Baldwin+2

U.S. Senate, Washington, 2024, General election

Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Cantwell
58%
Cantwell
58%

Cantwell

58%

Garcia

38%
38%
Garcia  Cantwell+20

U.S. Senate, Virginia, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Kaine
53%
Kaine
53%

Kaine

53%

Cao

41%
41%
Cao  Kaine+12

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

46%
46%
McCormick  Casey+2
Nov. 1-3, 2024
1,089LV
Nov. 1-3, 2024
1,089LV
Casey
46%
Casey
46%

Casey

46%

McCormick

47%
47%
McCormick  McCormick+2
Nov. 1-3, 2024
903RV
Nov. 1-3, 2024
903RV
Casey
50%
Casey
50%

Casey

50%

McCormick

49%
49%
McCormick  Casey+1

U.S. Senate, New York, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Gillibrand
61%
Gillibrand
61%

Gillibrand

61%

Sapraicone

33%
33%
Sapraicone  Gillibrand+28

U.S. Senate, New Jersey, 2024, General election

Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Kim
56%
Kim
56%

Kim

56%

Bashaw

38%
38%
Bashaw  Kim+18

U.S. Senate, Missouri, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Kunce
43%
Kunce
43%

Kunce

43%

Hawley

54%
54%
Hawley  Hawley+11

U.S. Senate, Minnesota, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Klobuchar
55%
Klobuchar
55%

Klobuchar

55%

White

38%
38%
White  Klobuchar+17

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Slotkin
50%
Slotkin
50%

Slotkin

50%

Rogers

44%
44%
Rogers  Slotkin+6
Nov. 1-3, 2024
1,079LV
Nov. 1-3, 2024
1,079LV
Slotkin
47%
Slotkin
47%

Slotkin

47%

Rogers

47%
47%
Rogers  Even
Nov. 1-3, 2024
858RV
Nov. 1-3, 2024
858RV
Slotkin
50%
Slotkin
50%

Slotkin

50%

Rogers

49%
49%
Rogers  Slotkin+2

U.S. Senate, Florida, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Mucarsel-Powell
43%
Mucarsel-Powell
43%

Mucarsel-Powell

43%

Scott

50%
50%
Scott  Scott+7

U.S. Senate, California, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Schiff
60%
Schiff
60%

Schiff

60%

Garvey

37%
37%
Garvey  Schiff+23

U.S. Senate, California, 2024, Special general

Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Nov. 2-3, 2024
450LV
Schiff
61%
Schiff
61%

Schiff

61%

Garvey

35%
35%
Garvey  Schiff+26

U.S. Senate, New Mexico, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-3, 2024
600LV
Nov. 1-3, 2024
600LV
Heinrich
50%
Heinrich
50%

Heinrich

50%

Domenici

49%
49%
Domenici  Heinrich+2

U.S. Senate, Nevada, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-3, 2024
792RV
Nov. 1-3, 2024
792RV
Rosen
51%
Rosen
51%

Rosen

51%

Brown

48%
48%
Brown  Rosen+3

U.S. Senate, Maryland, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-3, 2024
419LV
Nov. 1-3, 2024
419LV
Alsobrooks
52%
Alsobrooks
52%

Alsobrooks

52%

Hogan

38%

Scott

3%
38%
HoganAlsobrooks+14

No matching polls

Has a polling averageavg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

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