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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

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VOTERS

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LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 8, 2024

U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 8-9
800LV
Oct. 8-9
800LV
Baldwin
48%
Baldwin
48%

Baldwin

48%

Hovde

47%
47%
Hovde  Baldwin+1

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 8-9
800LV
Oct. 8-9
800LV
Slotkin
46%
Slotkin
46%

Slotkin

46%

Rogers

45%
45%
Rogers  Slotkin+1

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 7-9
803LV
Oct. 7-9
803LV
Casey
47%
Casey
47%

Casey

47%

McCormick

43%
43%
McCormick  Casey+4
Oct. 7-9
1,079RV
Oct. 7-9
1,079RV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

40%
40%
McCormick  Casey+8

Oct. 7, 2024

U.S. Senate, Nebraska, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-8
600LV
Oct. 5-8
600LV
Osborn
42%
Osborn
42%

Osborn

42%

Fischer

48%
48%
Fischer  Fischer+6
Oct. 3-8
895LV
Oct. 3-8
895LV
Osborn
46%
Osborn
46%

Osborn

46%

Fischer

43%
43%
Fischer  Osborn+3

U.S. Senate, Montana, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-8
656LV
Oct. 5-8
656LV
Tester
44%
Tester
44%

Tester

44%

Sheehy

52%
52%
Sheehy  Sheehy+8
Oct. 5-8
656RV
Oct. 5-8
656RV
Tester
44%
Tester
44%

Tester

44%

Sheehy

51%
51%
Sheehy  Sheehy+7

U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-8
1,000LV
Oct. 5-8
1,000LV
Baldwin
50%
Baldwin
50%

Baldwin

50%

Hovde

46%
46%
Hovde  Baldwin+4

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-8
1,000LV
Oct. 5-8
1,000LV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

46%
46%
McCormick  Casey+2

U.S. Senate, Nevada, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-8
900LV
Oct. 5-8
900LV
Rosen
50%
Rosen
50%

Rosen

50%

Brown

42%
42%
Brown  Rosen+9

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-8
950LV
Oct. 5-8
950LV
Slotkin
49%
Slotkin
49%

Slotkin

49%

Rogers

44%
44%
Rogers  Slotkin+5

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-8
1,000LV
Oct. 5-8
1,000LV
Gallego
50%
Gallego
50%

Gallego

50%

Lake

43%
43%
Lake  Gallego+7

Oct. 6, 2024

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-7
735LV
Oct. 5-7
735LV
Gallego
51%
Gallego
51%

Gallego

51%

Lake

39%
39%
Lake  Gallego+13

U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-7
450LV
Oct. 5-7
450LV
Baldwin
52%
Baldwin
52%

Baldwin

52%

Hovde

47%
47%
Hovde  Baldwin+5
Oct. 3-7
1,073LV
Oct. 3-7
1,073LV
Baldwin
50%
Baldwin
50%

Baldwin

50%

Hovde

46%
46%
Hovde  Baldwin+4

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-7
450LV
Oct. 5-7
450LV
Casey
51%
Casey
51%

Casey

51%

McCormick

48%
48%
McCormick  Casey+3
Oct. 3-7
1,412LV
Oct. 3-7
1,412LV
Casey
51%
Casey
51%

Casey

51%

McCormick

43%
43%
McCormick  Casey+8
Sept. 6-Oct. 7
400LV
Sept. 6-Oct. 7
400LV
Casey
53%
Casey
53%

Casey

53%

McCormick

47%
47%
McCormick  Casey+6

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-7
450LV
Oct. 5-7
450LV
Slotkin
52%
Slotkin
52%

Slotkin

52%

Rogers

47%
47%
Rogers  Slotkin+5
Oct. 3-7
1,007LV
Oct. 3-7
1,007LV
Slotkin
48%
Slotkin
48%

Slotkin

48%

Rogers

48%
48%
Rogers  Even

U.S. Senate, Ohio, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 3-7
1,002RV
Oct. 3-7
1,002RV
Brown
48%
Brown
48%

Brown

48%

Moreno

47%
47%
Moreno  Brown+1
Oct. 3-7
1,002LV
Oct. 3-7
1,002LV
Brown
48%
Brown
48%

Brown

48%

Moreno

47%
47%
Moreno  Brown+1
Oct. 3-7
1,327LV
Oct. 3-7
1,327LV
Brown
50%
Brown
50%

Brown

50%

Moreno

48%
48%
Moreno  Brown+2
Oct. 3-7
1,511RV
Oct. 3-7
1,511RV
Brown
49%
Brown
49%

Brown

49%

Moreno

48%
48%
Moreno  Brown+1

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 3-7
1,186LV
Oct. 3-7
1,186LV
Allred
46%
Allred
46%

Allred

46%

Cruz

51%
51%
Cruz  Cruz+5
Oct. 3-7
1,365RV
Oct. 3-7
1,365RV
Allred
47%
Allred
47%

Allred

47%

Cruz

50%
50%
Cruz  Cruz+3

U.S. Senate, Florida, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 3-7
1,410RV
Oct. 3-7
1,410RV
Mucarsel-Powell
48%
Mucarsel-Powell
48%

Mucarsel-Powell

48%

Scott

50%
50%
Scott  Scott+2
Oct. 3-7
1,257LV
Oct. 3-7
1,257LV
Mucarsel-Powell
48%
Mucarsel-Powell
48%

Mucarsel-Powell

48%

Scott

50%
50%
Scott  Scott+2

Oct. 5, 2024

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 2-6
775LV
Oct. 2-6
775LV
Allred
44%
Allred
44%

Allred

44%

Cruz

47%
47%
Cruz  Cruz+3
Oct. 2-6
811RV
Oct. 2-6
811RV
Allred
43%
Allred
43%

Allred

43%

Cruz

46%
46%
Cruz  Cruz+3

U.S. Senate, Florida, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 29-Oct. 6
622LV
Sept. 29-Oct. 6
622LV
Mucarsel-Powell
40%
Mucarsel-Powell
40%

Mucarsel-Powell

40%

Scott

49%
49%
Scott  Scott+9
Sept. 29-Oct. 6
622RV
Sept. 29-Oct. 6
622RV
Mucarsel-Powell
39%
Mucarsel-Powell
39%

Mucarsel-Powell

39%

Scott

48%
48%
Scott  Scott+9

Oct. 4, 2024

U.S. Senate, Massachusetts, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 1-5
500LV
Oct. 1-5
500LV
Warren
59%
Warren
59%

Warren

59%

Deaton

35%
35%
Deaton  Warren+24

U.S. Senate, Indiana, 2024, General election

Sept. 3-Oct. 5
400LV
Sept. 3-Oct. 5
400LV
McCray
44%
McCray
44%

McCray

44%

Banks

56%
56%
Banks  Banks+12
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

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