See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Aug. 3, 2020, at 6:38 PM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

				Dates	Pollster	Sample		Result				Net result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate	•	Mont.		Mont. Jul 31-Aug 2, 2020 584 LV	Jul 31-Aug 2, 2020	A- Emerson College	584	LV	Bullock	44%	Bullock 44% Daines 50%	50%	Daines	Daines	+6
U.S. Senate	•	Mich.		Mich. Jul 28-29, 2020 876 V	Jul 28-29, 2020	B Public Policy Polling*	876	V	Peters	47%	Peters 47% James 39%	39%	James	Peters	+8

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

U.S. Senate

U.S. Senate

•

Ga.

Ga.
Jul 28-31, 2020
1,101 LV

Jul 28-31, 2020

1,101

LV

Ossoff

43%

Ossoff

43%

Perdue

45%

45%

Perdue

Perdue

+2

U.S. Senate

•

N.C.

N.C.
Jul 28-31, 2020
1,121 LV

Jul 28-31, 2020

1,121

LV

Cunningham

48%

Cunningham

48%

Tillis

39%

39%

Tillis

Cunningham

+9

July 31, 2020

U.S. Senate

U.S. Senate

•

Minn.

Minn.
Jul 22-23, 2020
1,218 V

Jul 22-23, 2020

Public Policy Polling*

1,218

V

Smith

48%

Smith

48%

Lewis

39%

39%

Lewis

Smith

+9

July 30, 2020

U.S. Senate

U.S. Senate

•

N.C.

N.C.
Jul 22-24, 2020
735 LV

Jul 22-24, 2020

Cardinal Point Analytics (CardinalGPS)

735

LV

Cunningham

43%

Tie

Cunningham

43%

Tillis

43%

Hayes

2%

Bray

1%

More

Even

Tillis

43%

Hayes

2%

Bray

1%

U.S. Senate

•

Mich.

Mich.
Jul 19-24, 2020
811 LV

Jul 19-24, 2020

Redfield & Wilton Strategies

811

LV

Peters

52%

Peters

52%

James

35%

35%

James

Peters

+17

U.S. Senate

•

Ariz.

Ariz.
Jul 19-23, 2020
858 LV

Jul 19-23, 2020

Redfield & Wilton Strategies

858

LV

Kelly

53%

Kelly

53%

McSally

35%

35%

McSally

Kelly

+18

U.S. Senate

•

N.C.

N.C.
Jul 19-21, 2020
919 LV

Jul 19-21, 2020

Redfield & Wilton Strategies

919

LV

Cunningham

47%

Cunningham

47%

Tillis

36%

36%

Tillis

Cunningham

+11

July 29, 2020

U.S. Senate

U.S. Senate

•

N.H.

N.H.
Jul 16-28, 2020
1,893 LV

Jul 16-28, 2020

University of New Hampshire

1,893

LV

Shaheen

54%

Shaheen

54%

Messner

35%

35%

Messner

Shaheen

+19

U.S. Senate

•

N.H.

N.H.
Jul 16-28, 2020
1,893 LV

Jul 16-28, 2020

University of New Hampshire

1,893

LV

Shaheen

54%

Shaheen

54%

Bolduc

35%

35%

Bolduc

Shaheen

+19

U.S. Senate

•

Ga.

Ga.
Jul 23-27, 2020
402 RV

Jul 23-27, 2020

Monmouth University

402

RV

Loeffler

26%

Loeffler

26%

Collins

20%

Lieberman

14%

Warnock

9%

Tarver

5%

Slowinski

3%

More

Loeffler

+6

Collins

20%

Lieberman

14%

Warnock

9%

Tarver

5%

Slowinski

3%

U.S. Senate

•

Ga.

Ga.
Jul 23-27, 2020
402 LV

Jul 23-27, 2020

Monmouth University

402

LV

Ossoff

43%

Ossoff

43%

Perdue

51%

51%

Perdue

Perdue

+8

U.S. Senate

•

Ga.

Ga.
Jul 23-27, 2020
402 LV

Jul 23-27, 2020

Monmouth University

402

LV

Ossoff

43%

Ossoff

43%

Perdue

50%

50%

Perdue

Perdue

+7

U.S. Senate

•

Ga.

Ga.
Jul 23-27, 2020
402 RV

Jul 23-27, 2020

Monmouth University

402

RV

Ossoff

43%

Ossoff

43%

Perdue

49%

Hazel

1%

More

Perdue

+6

Perdue

49%

Hazel

1%

U.S. Senate

•

N.C.

N.C.
Jul 24-26, 2020
284 LV

Jul 24-26, 2020

Change Research

284

LV

Cunningham

52%

Cunningham

52%

Tillis

40%

40%

Tillis

Cunningham

+12

U.S. Senate

•

Mich.

Mich.
Jul 24-26, 2020
413 LV

Jul 24-26, 2020

Change Research

413

LV

Peters

48%

Peters

48%

James

44%

44%

James

Peters

+4

U.S. Senate

•

Ariz.

Ariz.
Jul 24-26, 2020
365 LV

Jul 24-26, 2020

Change Research

365

LV

Kelly

47%

Kelly

47%

McSally

45%

45%

McSally

Kelly

+2

U.S. Senate

•

Mich.

Mich.
Jul 19-21, 2020
600 LV

Jul 19-21, 2020

Marketing Resource Group (MRG)

600

LV

Peters

41%

Peters

41%

James

34%

34%

James

Peters

+7

U.S. Senate

•

N.H.

N.H.
Jun 18-22, 2020
932 LV

Jun 18-22, 2020

University of New Hampshire

932

LV

Shaheen

50%

Shaheen

50%

Messner

37%

37%

Messner

Shaheen

+13

U.S. Senate

•

N.H.

N.H.
Jun 18-22, 2020
931 LV

Jun 18-22, 2020

University of New Hampshire

931

LV

Shaheen

51%

Shaheen

51%

Bolduc

39%

39%

Bolduc

Shaheen

+12

U.S. Senate

•

N.H.

N.H.
May 14-18, 2020
788 LV

May 14-18, 2020

University of New Hampshire

788

LV

Shaheen

52%

Shaheen

52%

Messner

34%

34%

Messner

Shaheen

+18

U.S. Senate

•

N.H.

N.H.
May 14-18, 2020
790 LV

May 14-18, 2020

University of New Hampshire

790

LV

Shaheen

50%

Shaheen

50%

Bolduc

39%

39%

Bolduc

Shaheen

+11

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Polls conducted after June 28, 2018, the date this page was published, are listed by the date that FiveThirtyEight collected them; polls conducted before then are listed under the last date that the poll was in the field. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter.

* Polls marked with an asterisk are partisan polls. Partisanship is determined by who sponsors the poll, rather than who conducts it. Polls are considered partisan if they’re conducted on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, or PAC, super PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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Design and development by Aaron Bycoffe, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani and Julia Wolfe. Andrea Jones-Rooy, Dhrumil Mehta, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan and Julia Wolfe contributed research.

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