See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Oct. 26, 2020, at 12:07 PM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Oct 22-25, 2020
1,018 LV
Oct 22-25, 2020
1,018LVHegar
46%

Hegar

46%

Cornyn

48%

Turullols-Bonilla

1%

McKennon

1%
MoreCornyn+2
U.S. Senate
Ala.Ala.
Oct 21-23, 2020
645 LV
Oct 21-23, 2020
645LVJones
41%

Jones

41%

Tuberville

55%
55%
TubervilleTuberville+14
U.S. Senate
Ga.Ga.
Oct 14-23, 2020
1,145 LV
Oct 14-23, 2020
1,145LVWarnock
34%

Warnock

34%

Collins

21%

Loeffler

20%

Lieberman

4%

Slowinski

3%

Tarver

1%
MoreWarnock+14
U.S. Senate
Ga.Ga.
Oct 14-23, 2020
1,145 LV
Oct 14-23, 2020
1,145LVOssoff
46%

Ossoff

46%

Perdue

45%

Hazel

4%
MoreOssoff+1
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Oct 13-20, 2020
1,000 LV
Oct 13-20, 2020
1,000LVHegar
42%

Hegar

42%

Cornyn

49%

McKennon

3%

Collins

1%
MoreCornyn+7

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

 

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 24, 2020
679 LV
Oct 24, 2020
679LVPeters
52%

Peters

52%

James

41%
41%
JamesPeters+11
U.S. Senate
Ga.Ga.
Oct 20-23, 2020
1,090 LV
Oct 20-23, 2020
1,090LVOssoff
46%

Ossoff

46%

Perdue

47%
47%
PerduePerdue+1
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Oct 20-23, 2020
1,022 LV
Oct 20-23, 2020
1,022LVCunningham
49%

Cunningham

49%

Tillis

43%
43%
TillisCunningham+6
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Oct 13-20, 2020
925 LV
Oct 13-20, 2020
925LVHegar
34%

Hegar

34%

Cornyn

42%

McKennon

3%

Collins

2%
MoreCornyn+8
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Oct 13-20, 2020
1,012 RV
Oct 13-20, 2020
1,012RVHegar
32%

Hegar

32%

Cornyn

40%

McKennon

4%

Collins

2%
MoreCornyn+8

Oct. 23, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Tenn.Tenn.
Oct 20-22, 2020
610 LV
Oct 20-22, 2020
610LVBradshaw
36%

Bradshaw

36%

Hagerty

56%
56%
HagertyHagerty+21
U.S. Senate
Ariz.Ariz.
Oct 19-22, 2020
500 LV
Oct 19-22, 2020
500LVKelly
47%

Kelly

47%

McSally

50%
50%
McSallyMcSally+3
U.S. Senate
Ga.Ga.
Oct 21, 2020
500 LV
Oct 21, 2020
500LVWarnock
33%

Warnock

33%

Collins

27%

Loeffler

24%
MoreWarnock+5
U.S. Senate
Ga.Ga.
Oct 21, 2020
500 LV
Oct 21, 2020
500LVOssoff
45%

Ossoff

45%

Perdue

50%
50%
PerduePerdue+6
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Oct 20-21, 2020
800 LV
Oct 20-21, 2020
800LVCunningham
45%

Cunningham

45%

Tillis

45%
45%
TillisEven
U.S. Senate
IowaIowa
Oct 15-21, 2020
800 LV
Oct 15-21, 2020
800LVGreenfield
46%

Greenfield

46%

Ernst

43%

Stewart

2%
MoreGreenfield+3
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Oct 18-20, 2020
758 LV
Oct 18-20, 2020
758LVBullock
46%

Bullock

46%

Daines

49%
49%
DainesDaines+3
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Oct 16-19, 2020
732 LV
Oct 16-19, 2020
732LVCunningham
43%

Cunningham

43%

Tillis

38%

Bray

4%

Hayes

1%
MoreCunningham+5
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 15-19, 2020
600 LV
Oct 15-19, 2020
600LVPeters
45%

Peters

45%

James

39%
39%
JamesPeters+6
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Oct 15-18, 2020
929 LV
Oct 15-18, 2020
929LVCunningham
46%

Cunningham

46%

Tillis

42%

Hayes

1%

Bray

1%
MoreCunningham+4
U.S. Senate
Ga.Ga.
Oct 12-15, 2020
800 LV
Oct 12-15, 2020
800LVWarnock
31%

Warnock

31%

Loeffler

19%

Collins

18%

Lieberman

3%

Johnson

2%

Johnson-Shealey

2%

Bartell

2%

Winfield

1%

Tarver

1%
MoreWarnock+12
U.S. Senate
Ga.Ga.
Oct 12-15, 2020
800 LV
Oct 12-15, 2020
800LVOssoff
44%

Ossoff

44%

Perdue

44%
44%
PerdueEven
U.S. Senate
IowaIowa
Oct 5-8, 2020
800 LV
Oct 5-8, 2020
800LVGreenfield
44%

Greenfield

44%

Ernst

45%
45%
ErnstErnst+1
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 3-6, 2020
800 LV
Oct 3-6, 2020
800LVPeters
49%

Peters

49%

James

41%
41%
JamesPeters+8
U.S. Senate
Ariz.Ariz.
Oct 3-5, 2020
800 LV
Oct 3-5, 2020
800LVKelly
47%

Kelly

47%

McSally

49%
49%
McSallyMcSally+1
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Aug 30-Sep 2, 2020
800 LV
Aug 30-Sep 2, 2020
800LVPeters
46%

Peters

46%

James

42%
42%
JamesPeters+4
U.S. Senate
IowaIowa
Aug 30-Sep 2, 2020
800 LV
Aug 30-Sep 2, 2020
800LVGreenfield
43%

Greenfield

43%

Ernst

49%
49%
ErnstErnst+6
U.S. Senate
Ga.Ga.
Aug 30-Sep 2, 2020
800 LV
Aug 30-Sep 2, 2020
800LVWarnock
17%

Warnock

17%

Collins

20%

Loeffler

17%

Johnson-Shealey

5%

Lieberman

4%

Johnson

2%

Winfield

2%

Bartell

2%

Tarver

1%
MoreCollins+3
U.S. Senate
Ga.Ga.
Aug 30-Sep 2, 2020
800 LV
Aug 30-Sep 2, 2020
800LVOssoff
44%

Ossoff

44%

Perdue

44%
44%
PerdueEven
U.S. Senate
Ariz.Ariz.
Aug 29-31, 2020
800 LV
Aug 29-31, 2020
800LVKelly
48%

Kelly

48%

McSally

48%
48%
McSallyKelly+1

Oct. 22, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 21-22, 2020
804 V
Oct 21-22, 2020
804VPeters
52%

Peters

52%

James

43%
43%
JamesPeters+9
U.S. Senate
Neb.Neb.
Oct 19-21, 2020
625 LV
Oct 19-21, 2020
625LVJanicek
18%

Janicek

18%

Sasse

47%

Siadek

6%
MoreSasse+30
U.S. Senate
Ky.Ky.
Oct 19-20, 2020
640 LV
Oct 19-20, 2020
640LVMcGrath
40%

McGrath

40%

McConnell

50%

Barron

5%
MoreMcConnell+10
U.S. Senate
Kan.Kan.
Oct 18-20, 2020
755 LV
Oct 18-20, 2020
755LVBollier
42%

Bollier

42%

Marshall

46%

Buckley

4%
MoreMarshall+4
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Oct 15-20, 2020
500 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
500LVBullock
47%

Bullock

47%

Daines

48%
48%
DainesDaines+1
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Oct 11-20, 2020
3,347 LV
Oct 11-20, 2020
3,347LVHegar
41%

Hegar

41%

Cornyn

46%
46%
CornynCornyn+5
U.S. Senate
S.C.S.C.
Oct 11-20, 2020
926 LV
Oct 11-20, 2020
926LVHarrison
47%

Harrison

47%

Graham

45%
45%
GrahamHarrison+2
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Oct 11-20, 2020
1,904 LV
Oct 11-20, 2020
1,904LVCunningham
48%

Cunningham

48%

Tillis

42%
42%
TillisCunningham+6
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 11-20, 2020
1,717 LV
Oct 11-20, 2020
1,717LVPeters
48%

Peters

48%

James

42%
42%
JamesPeters+6
U.S. Senate
Ga.Ga.
Oct 11-20, 2020
1,672 LV
Oct 11-20, 2020
1,672LVOssoff
44%

Ossoff

44%

Perdue

46%
46%
PerduePerdue+2
U.S. Senate
Colo.Colo.
Oct 11-20, 2020
788 LV
Oct 11-20, 2020
788LVHickenlooper
50%

Hickenlooper

50%

Gardner

42%
42%
GardnerHickenlooper+8
U.S. Senate
Ariz.Ariz.
Oct 11-20, 2020
1,066 LV
Oct 11-20, 2020
1,066LVKelly
48%

Kelly

48%

McSally

44%
44%
McSallyKelly+4
U.S. Senate
AlaskaAlaska
Oct 16-19, 2020
1,076 LV
Oct 16-19, 2020
1,076LVGross
44%

Gross

44%

Sullivan

47%

Howe

3%
MoreSullivan+3
U.S. Senate
Va.Va.
Oct 13-19, 2020
908 LV
Oct 13-19, 2020
908LVWarner
57%

Warner

57%

Gade

39%
39%
GadeWarner+18
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 15-18, 2020
1,034 LV
Oct 15-18, 2020
1,034LVPeters
48%

Peters

48%

James

50%
50%
JamesJames+2

Oct. 21, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
IowaIowa
Oct 19-21, 2020
435 LV
Oct 19-21, 2020
435LVGreenfield
46%

Greenfield

46%

Ernst

50%
50%
ErnstErnst+4
U.S. Senate
Ariz.Ariz.
Oct 14-21, 2020
658 LV
Oct 14-21, 2020
658LVKelly
51%

Kelly

51%

McSally

43%
43%
McSallyKelly+8
U.S. Senate
AlaskaAlaska
Oct 19-20, 2020
800 V
Oct 19-20, 2020
800VGross
41%

Gross

41%

Sullivan

44%

Howe

5%
MoreSullivan+3
U.S. Senate
Kan.Kan.
Oct 19-20, 2020
897 V
Oct 19-20, 2020
897VBollier
43%
Tie

Bollier

43%

Marshall

43%

Buckley

5%
MoreEven
U.S. Senate
Kan.Kan.
Oct 18-20, 2020
2,453 LV
Oct 18-20, 2020
2,453LVBollier
39%

Bollier

39%

Marshall

51%

Buckley

2%
MoreMarshall+12
U.S. Senate
IowaIowa
Oct 18-20, 2020
753 LV
Oct 18-20, 2020
753LVGreenfield
44%

Greenfield

44%

Ernst

45%

Stewart

2%

Herzog

2%
MoreErnst+1
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 17-20, 2020
1,104 RV
Oct 17-20, 2020
1,104RVPeters
47%

Peters

47%

James

41%
41%
JamesPeters+6
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 17-20, 2020
1,032 LV
Oct 17-20, 2020
1,032LVPeters
49%

Peters

49%

James

41%
41%
JamesPeters+8
U.S. Senate
Minn.Minn.
Oct 17-20, 2020
840 LV
Oct 17-20, 2020
840LVSmith
54%

Smith

54%

Lewis

43%

Steinberg

1%

O'Connor

1%
MoreSmith+11
U.S. Senate
Minn.Minn.
Oct 16-20, 2020
625 LV
Oct 16-20, 2020
625LVSmith
43%

Smith

43%

Lewis

42%
42%
LewisSmith+1
U.S. Senate
Okla.Okla.
Oct 15-20, 2020
5,466 LV
Oct 15-20, 2020
5,466LVBroyles
37%

Broyles

37%

Inhofe

56%

Murphy

1%

Farr

1%

Nesbit

1%
MoreInhofe+20
U.S. Senate
Ariz.Ariz.
Oct 18-19, 2020
800 LV
Oct 18-19, 2020
800LVKelly
46%

Kelly

46%

McSally

44%
44%
McSallyKelly+2
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Oct 16-19, 2020
1,145 LV
Oct 16-19, 2020
1,145LVHegar
43%

Hegar

43%

Cornyn

49%
49%
CornynCornyn+6
U.S. Senate
IowaIowa
Oct 15-19, 2020
501 LV
Oct 15-19, 2020
501LVGreenfield
51%

Greenfield

51%

Ernst

45%
45%
ErnstGreenfield+6
U.S. Senate
IowaIowa
Oct 15-19, 2020
501 LV
Oct 15-19, 2020
501LVGreenfield
49%

Greenfield

49%

Ernst

47%
47%
ErnstGreenfield+2
U.S. Senate
IowaIowa
Oct 15-19, 2020
501 RV
Oct 15-19, 2020
501RVGreenfield
47%
Tie

Greenfield

47%

Ernst

47%

Stewart

1%

Herzog

1%
MoreEven
U.S. Senate
Ariz.Ariz.
Oct 14-19, 2020
800 LV
Oct 14-19, 2020
800LVKelly
46%

Kelly

46%

McSally

39%
39%
McSallyKelly+7
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 15-18, 2020
830 LV
Oct 15-18, 2020
830LVPeters
48%

Peters

48%

James

43%
43%
JamesPeters+5
U.S. Senate
Ky.Ky.
Oct 12-15, 2020
625 LV
Oct 12-15, 2020
625LVMcGrath
42%

McGrath

42%

McConnell

51%

Barron

4%
MoreMcConnell+9
U.S. Senate
Ga.Ga.
Oct 11-14, 2020
600 LV
Oct 11-14, 2020
600LVOssoff
48%

Ossoff

48%

Perdue

43%

Hazel

6%
MoreOssoff+5
U.S. Senate
Ga.Ga.
Oct 11-14, 2020
600 LV
Oct 11-14, 2020
600LVOssoff
50%

Ossoff

50%

Perdue

45%
45%
PerdueOssoff+5
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