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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 28, 2024

U.S. Senate, North Carolina, 2026, Republican primary

Nov. 26-29
LV
Nov. 26-29
LV
L. Trump
65%
L. Trump
65%

L. Trump

65%

Tillis

11%
11%
Tillis  L. Trump+54

U.S. Senate, North Carolina, 2026, General election

Nov. 26-29
800LV
Nov. 26-29
800LV
Cooper
46%
Cooper
46%

Cooper

46%

L. Trump

44%
44%
L. Trump  Cooper+1
Nov. 26-29
800LV
Nov. 26-29
800LV
Cooper
45%
Cooper
45%

Cooper

45%

Tillis

44%
44%
Tillis  Cooper+1

Nov. 3, 2024

U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 3-4
869LV
Nov. 3-4
869LV
Baldwin
49%
Baldwin
49%

Baldwin

49%

Hovde

48%
48%
Hovde  Baldwin+1

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 3-4
1,840LV
Nov. 3-4
1,840LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

47%
47%
McCormick  Casey+3
Nov. 1-4
915LV
Nov. 1-4
915LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

42%

Thomas

1%

Hazou

1%

Selker

0%
42%
McCormickCasey+8

U.S. Senate, Nevada, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 3-4
707LV
Nov. 3-4
707LV
Rosen
48%
Rosen
48%

Rosen

48%

Brown

43%
43%
Brown  Rosen+6

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 3-4
1,113LV
Nov. 3-4
1,113LV
Slotkin
49%
Slotkin
49%

Slotkin

49%

Rogers

48%
48%
Rogers  Slotkin+1

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 3-4
875LV
Nov. 3-4
875LV
Gallego
48%
Gallego
48%

Gallego

48%

Lake

48%
48%
Lake  Lake+1

U.S. Senate, Ohio, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-4
1,095LV
Nov. 2-4
1,095LV
Brown
48%
Brown
48%

Brown

48%

Moreno

48%
48%
Moreno  Moreno+1
Nov. 1-4
1,022LV
Nov. 1-4
1,022LV
Brown
46%
Brown
46%

Brown

46%

Moreno

49%
49%
Moreno  Moreno+3

U.S. Senate, Virginia, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-4
2,202LV
Nov. 1-4
2,202LV
Kaine
53%
Kaine
53%

Kaine

53%

Cao

44%
44%
Cao  Kaine+9

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-4
2,434LV
Nov. 1-4
2,434LV
Allred
46%
Allred
46%

Allred

46%

Cruz

53%
53%
Cruz  Cruz+7

U.S. Senate, Montana, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-4
752LV
Nov. 1-4
752LV
Tester
39%
Tester
39%

Tester

39%

Sheehy

50%
50%
Sheehy  Sheehy+11

U.S. Senate, Minnesota, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-4
2,065LV
Nov. 1-4
2,065LV
Klobuchar
53%
Klobuchar
53%

Klobuchar

53%

White

41%
41%
White  Klobuchar+11

Nov. 2, 2024

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3
750LV
Nov. 2-3
750LV
Gallego
50%
Gallego
50%

Gallego

50%

Lake

47%
47%
Lake  Gallego+3
Nov. 1-3
1,090LV
Nov. 1-3
1,090LV
Gallego
49%
Gallego
49%

Gallego

49%

Lake

49%
49%
Lake  Gallego+1
Nov. 1-3
801RV
Nov. 1-3
801RV
Gallego
51%
Gallego
51%

Gallego

51%

Lake

48%
48%
Lake  Gallego+2

U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3
450LV
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Baldwin
48%
Baldwin
48%

Baldwin

48%

Hovde

47%
47%
Hovde  Baldwin+1
Nov. 1-3
1,086LV
Nov. 1-3
1,086LV
Baldwin
48%
Baldwin
48%

Baldwin

48%

Hovde

48%
48%
Hovde  Hovde+1
Nov. 1-3
835RV
Nov. 1-3
835RV
Baldwin
51%
Baldwin
51%

Baldwin

51%

Hovde

49%
49%
Hovde  Baldwin+2

U.S. Senate, Washington, 2024, General election

Nov. 2-3
450LV
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Cantwell
58%
Cantwell
58%

Cantwell

58%

Garcia

38%
38%
Garcia  Cantwell+20

U.S. Senate, Virginia, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3
450LV
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Kaine
53%
Kaine
53%

Kaine

53%

Cao

41%
41%
Cao  Kaine+12

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3
450LV
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

46%
46%
McCormick  Casey+2
Nov. 1-3
1,089LV
Nov. 1-3
1,089LV
Casey
46%
Casey
46%

Casey

46%

McCormick

47%
47%
McCormick  McCormick+2
Nov. 1-3
903RV
Nov. 1-3
903RV
Casey
50%
Casey
50%

Casey

50%

McCormick

49%
49%
McCormick  Casey+1

U.S. Senate, New York, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3
450LV
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Gillibrand
61%
Gillibrand
61%

Gillibrand

61%

Sapraicone

33%
33%
Sapraicone  Gillibrand+28

U.S. Senate, New Jersey, 2024, General election

Nov. 2-3
450LV
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Kim
56%
Kim
56%

Kim

56%

Bashaw

38%
38%
Bashaw  Kim+18

U.S. Senate, Missouri, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3
450LV
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Kunce
43%
Kunce
43%

Kunce

43%

Hawley

54%
54%
Hawley  Hawley+11

U.S. Senate, Minnesota, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3
450LV
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Klobuchar
55%
Klobuchar
55%

Klobuchar

55%

White

38%
38%
White  Klobuchar+17

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3
450LV
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Slotkin
50%
Slotkin
50%

Slotkin

50%

Rogers

44%
44%
Rogers  Slotkin+6
Nov. 1-3
1,079LV
Nov. 1-3
1,079LV
Slotkin
47%
Slotkin
47%

Slotkin

47%

Rogers

47%
47%
Rogers  Even
Nov. 1-3
858RV
Nov. 1-3
858RV
Slotkin
50%
Slotkin
50%

Slotkin

50%

Rogers

49%
49%
Rogers  Slotkin+2

U.S. Senate, Florida, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3
450LV
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Mucarsel-Powell
43%
Mucarsel-Powell
43%

Mucarsel-Powell

43%

Scott

50%
50%
Scott  Scott+7

U.S. Senate, California, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3
450LV
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Schiff
60%
Schiff
60%

Schiff

60%

Garvey

37%
37%
Garvey  Schiff+23

U.S. Senate, California, 2024, Special general

Nov. 2-3
450LV
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Schiff
61%
Schiff
61%

Schiff

61%

Garvey

35%
35%
Garvey  Schiff+26

U.S. Senate, New Mexico, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-3
600LV
Nov. 1-3
600LV
Heinrich
50%
Heinrich
50%

Heinrich

50%

Domenici

49%
49%
Domenici  Heinrich+2

U.S. Senate, Nevada, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-3
792RV
Nov. 1-3
792RV
Rosen
51%
Rosen
51%

Rosen

51%

Brown

48%
48%
Brown  Rosen+3

U.S. Senate, Maryland, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-3
419LV
Nov. 1-3
419LV
Alsobrooks
52%
Alsobrooks
52%

Alsobrooks

52%

Hogan

38%

Scott

3%
38%
HoganAlsobrooks+14

Nov. 1, 2024

U.S. Senate, Florida, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-2
400LV
Nov. 1-2
400LV
Mucarsel-Powell
47%
Mucarsel-Powell
47%

Mucarsel-Powell

47%

Scott

51%
51%
Scott  Scott+5

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-2
800LV
Nov. 1-2
800LV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

47%
47%
McCormick  Casey+1
Nov. 1-2
2,049LV
Nov. 1-2
2,049LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

47%
47%
McCormick  Casey+2
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
1,000LV
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
1,000LV
Casey
47%
Casey
47%

Casey

47%

McCormick

47%
47%
McCormick  Even
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
1,527LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
1,527LV
Casey
50%
Casey
50%

Casey

50%

McCormick

45%
45%
McCormick  Casey+5
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
1,527RV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
1,527RV
Casey
50%
Casey
50%

Casey

50%

McCormick

45%
45%
McCormick  Casey+5
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
798RV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
798RV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

43%
43%
McCormick  Casey+5
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
699LV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
699LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

44%
44%
McCormick  Casey+5

U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-2
800LV
Nov. 1-2
800LV
Baldwin
47%
Baldwin
47%

Baldwin

47%

Hovde

48%
48%
Hovde  Hovde+1
Nov. 1-2
728LV
Nov. 1-2
728LV
Baldwin
49%
Baldwin
49%

Baldwin

49%

Hovde

48%
48%
Hovde  Baldwin+1
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
800LV
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
800LV
Baldwin
51%
Baldwin
51%

Baldwin

51%

Hovde

45%
45%
Hovde  Baldwin+5
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
1,305LV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
1,305LV
Baldwin
50%
Baldwin
50%

Baldwin

50%

Hovde

46%
46%
Hovde  Baldwin+4
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
1,305RV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
1,305RV
Baldwin
50%
Baldwin
50%

Baldwin

50%

Hovde

46%
46%
Hovde  Baldwin+4
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
798RV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
798RV
Baldwin
47%
Baldwin
47%

Baldwin

47%

Hovde

45%
45%
Hovde  Baldwin+2
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
786LV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
786LV
Baldwin
47%
Baldwin
47%

Baldwin

47%

Hovde

45%
45%
Hovde  Baldwin+2

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-2
800LV
Nov. 1-2
800LV
Slotkin
48%
Slotkin
48%

Slotkin

48%

Rogers

48%
48%
Rogers  Slotkin+1
Nov. 1-2
1,198LV
Nov. 1-2
1,198LV
Slotkin
49%
Slotkin
49%

Slotkin

49%

Rogers

47%
47%
Rogers  Slotkin+1
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
790LV
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
790LV
Slotkin
49%
Slotkin
49%

Slotkin

49%

Rogers

45%
45%
Rogers  Slotkin+4
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
998LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
998LV
Slotkin
48%
Slotkin
48%

Slotkin

48%

Rogers

46%
46%
Rogers  Slotkin+2
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
998RV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
998RV
Slotkin
45%
Slotkin
45%

Slotkin

45%

Rogers

45%
45%
Rogers  Even
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
585LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
585LV
Slotkin
50%
Slotkin
50%

Slotkin

50%

Rogers

48%
48%
Rogers  Slotkin+2
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
585LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
585LV
Slotkin
48%
Slotkin
48%

Slotkin

48%

Rogers

46%

Solis-Mullen

1%
46%
RogersSlotkin+2
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
733RV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
733RV
Slotkin
47%
Slotkin
47%

Slotkin

47%

Rogers

42%
42%
Rogers  Slotkin+5
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
713LV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
713LV
Slotkin
47%
Slotkin
47%

Slotkin

47%

Rogers

43%
43%
Rogers  Slotkin+4

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-2
800LV
Nov. 1-2
800LV
Gallego
49%
Gallego
49%

Gallego

49%

Lake

47%
47%
Lake  Gallego+2
Nov. 1-2
967LV
Nov. 1-2
967LV
Gallego
47%
Gallego
47%

Gallego

47%

Lake

49%
49%
Lake  Lake+2
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
900LV
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
900LV
Gallego
50%
Gallego
50%

Gallego

50%

Lake

45%
45%
Lake  Gallego+5
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
1,025LV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
1,025LV
Gallego
50%
Gallego
50%

Gallego

50%

Lake

45%
45%
Lake  Gallego+5
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
1,025RV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
1,025RV
Gallego
51%
Gallego
51%

Gallego

51%

Lake

43%
43%
Lake  Gallego+8

U.S. Senate, Ohio, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 30-Nov. 2
900LV
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
900LV
Brown
48%
Brown
48%

Brown

48%

Moreno

52%
52%
Moreno  Moreno+4

U.S. Senate, Nevada, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 30-Nov. 2
840LV
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
840LV
Rosen
50%
Rosen
50%

Rosen

50%

Brown

44%
44%
Brown  Rosen+6
Oct. 24-Nov. 2
1,010LV
Oct. 24-Nov. 2
1,010LV
Rosen
52%
Rosen
52%

Rosen

52%

Brown

43%
43%
Brown  Rosen+9
Oct. 24-Nov. 2
1,010RV
Oct. 24-Nov. 2
1,010RV
Rosen
52%
Rosen
52%

Rosen

52%

Brown

40%
40%
Brown  Rosen+12

U.S. Senate, Rhode Island, 2024, General election

Oct. 29-Nov. 2
708LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
708LV
Whitehouse
54%
Whitehouse
54%

Whitehouse

54%

Morgan

40%
40%
Morgan  Whitehouse+14

U.S. Senate, Vermont, 2024, General election

Oct. 29-Nov. 2
1,167LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
1,167LV
Sanders
64%
Sanders
64%

Sanders

64%

Malloy

27%

Hill

1%

Berry

1%

Schoville

0%
27%
MalloySanders+37

U.S. Senate, Massachusetts, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 29-Nov. 2
744LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
744LV
Warren
60%
Warren
60%

Warren

60%

Deaton

37%
37%
Deaton  Warren+23

U.S. Senate, Maine, 2024, General election

Oct. 29-Nov. 2
1,485LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
1,485LV
King
50%
King
50%

King

50%

Kouzounas

35%

Costello

7%

Cherry

1%
35%
KouzounasKing+15

Oct. 31, 2024

U.S. Senate, Massachusetts, 2026, General election

Oct. 29-Nov. 1
582LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 1
582LV
Markey
34%
Markey
34%

Markey

34%

Baker

40%
40%
Baker  Baker+6

U.S. Senate, Massachusetts, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 29-Nov. 1
582LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 1
582LV
Warren
55%
Warren
55%

Warren

55%

Deaton

33%
33%
Deaton  Warren+22

U.S. Senate, Florida, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 25-Nov. 1
452LV
Oct. 25-Nov. 1
452LV
Mucarsel-Powell
45%
Mucarsel-Powell
45%

Mucarsel-Powell

45%

Scott

53%
53%
Scott  Scott+8
Oct. 23-Nov. 1
2,022LV
Oct. 23-Nov. 1
2,022LV
Mucarsel-Powell
45%
Mucarsel-Powell
45%

Mucarsel-Powell

45%

Scott

48%
48%
Scott  Scott+3

U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 23-Nov. 1
541LV
Oct. 23-Nov. 1
541LV
Baldwin
49%
Baldwin
49%

Baldwin

49%

Hovde

47%
47%
Hovde  Baldwin+2

U.S. Senate, Ohio, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 23-Nov. 1
1,254LV
Oct. 23-Nov. 1
1,254LV
Brown
46%
Brown
46%

Brown

46%

Moreno

47%
47%
Moreno  Moreno+1

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 23-Nov. 1
1,112LV
Oct. 23-Nov. 1
1,112LV
Slotkin
49%
Slotkin
49%

Slotkin

49%

Rogers

41%
41%
Rogers  Slotkin+8
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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