UPDATED Oct. 6, 2022, at 4:13 PM

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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VOTERS

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LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
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VOTERS

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LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

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Polls ending Oct. 3, 2022

U.S. Senate, Georgia, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

550LV
Oct.4
550LV
Warnock
47%
Warnock
47%

Warnock

47%

Walker

44%

Oliver

3%
44%
WalkerWarnock+4
1,076LV
Sep.30-Oct.4
1,076LV
Warnock
50%
Warnock
50%

Warnock

50%

Walker

38%
38%
Walker  Warnock+12

U.S. Senate, Iowa, 2022
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600LV
Oct.2-4
600LV
Franken
40%
Franken
40%

Franken

40%

Grassley

54%
54%
Grassley  Grassley+14

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,161LV
Sep.30-Oct.4
1,161LV
Kelly
51%
Kelly
51%

Kelly

51%

Masters

48%
48%
Masters  Kelly+3

Oct. 2, 2022

U.S. Senate, Ohio, 2022
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950RV
Oct.2-3
950RV
Ryan
43%
Ryan
43%

Ryan

43%

Vance

35%
35%
Vance  Ryan+8
528LV
Oct.2-3
528LV
Ryan
49%
Ryan
49%

Ryan

49%

Vance

38%
38%
Vance  Ryan+11

U.S. Senate, Vermont, 2022

765LV
Sep.29-Oct.3
765LV
Welch
62%
Welch
62%

Welch

62%

Malloy

28%

Ericson

1%

Ellis

1%

Raheb

0%

Diamondstone-Kohout

0%
28%
MalloyWelch+34

Oct. 1, 2022

U.S. Senate, North Carolina, 2022
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677LV
Sep.28-Oct.2
677LV
Beasley
42%
Beasley
42%

Beasley

42%

Budd

43%

Bray

2%

Hoh

0%
43%
BuddBudd+1

U.S. Senate, Nevada, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

926RV
Sep.26-Oct.2
926RV
Cortez Masto
47%
Cortez Masto
47%

Cortez Masto

47%

Laxalt

44%
44%
Laxalt  Cortez Masto+3
828LV
Sep.26-Oct.2
828LV
Cortez Masto
46%
Cortez Masto
46%

Cortez Masto

46%

Laxalt

48%
48%
Laxalt  Laxalt+2

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2022
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900RV
Sep.26-Oct.2
900RV
Kelly
52%
Kelly
52%

Kelly

52%

Masters

42%
42%
Masters  Kelly+10
795LV
Sep.26-Oct.2
795LV
Kelly
51%
Kelly
51%

Kelly

51%

Masters

45%
45%
Masters  Kelly+6

Sept. 30, 2022

U.S. Senate, Washington, 2022
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782LV
Sep.30-Oct.1
782LV
Murray
51%
Murray
51%

Murray

51%

Smiley

42%
42%
Smiley  Murray+9

U.S. Senate, Oregon, 2022

796LV
Sep.30-Oct.1
796LV
Wyden
51%
Wyden
51%

Wyden

51%

Perkins

32%
32%
Perkins  Wyden+20

Sept. 29, 2022

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2022
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971RV
Sep.29-30
971RV
Fetterman
50%
Fetterman
50%

Fetterman

50%

Oz

34%
34%
Oz  Fetterman+16
568LV
Sep.29-30
568LV
Fetterman
55%
Fetterman
55%

Fetterman

55%

Oz

36%
36%
Oz  Fetterman+19
500LV
Sep.27-30
500LV
Fetterman
46%
Fetterman
46%

Fetterman

46%

Oz

40%

Gerhardt

2%

Wassmer

1%

Weiss

0%
40%
OzFetterman+6

U.S. Senate, New Hampshire, 2022
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1,081LV
Sep.26-30
1,081LV
Hassan
48%
Hassan
48%

Hassan

48%

Bolduc

45%

Kauffman

4%
45%
BolducHassan+3
1,147LV
Sep.23-30
1,147LV
Hassan
50%
Hassan
50%

Hassan

50%

Bolduc

43%

Kauffman

3%
43%
BolducHassan+7
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Candidate is an incumbent

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