See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Aug. 9, 2020, at 10:35 AM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Aug. 7, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Kan.Kan.
Aug 5-6, 2020
864 V
Aug 5-6, 2020
864VBollier
42%

Bollier

42%

Marshall

43%
43%
MarshallMarshall+1
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Jul 25-30, 2020
600 LV
Jul 25-30, 2020
600LVPeters
50%

Peters

50%

James

40%
40%
JamesPeters+10
U.S. Senate
Kan.Kan.
Mar 10-11, 2020
1,567 V
Mar 10-11, 2020
1,567VBollier
37%

Bollier

37%

Marshall

47%
47%
MarshallMarshall+10

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Aug. 6, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
S.C.S.C.
Jul 30-Aug 3, 2020
914 RV
Jul 30-Aug 3, 2020
914RVHarrison
44%

Harrison

44%

Graham

44%
44%
GrahamEven
U.S. Senate
MaineMaine
Jul 30-Aug 3, 2020
807 RV
Jul 30-Aug 3, 2020
807RVGideon
47%

Gideon

47%

Collins

43%
43%
CollinsGideon+4
U.S. Senate
Ky.Ky.
Jul 30-Aug 3, 2020
909 RV
Jul 30-Aug 3, 2020
909RVMcGrath
44%

McGrath

44%

McConnell

49%
49%
McConnellMcConnell+5
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Jul 24-Aug 2, 2020
1,170 LV
Jul 24-Aug 2, 2020
1,170LVCunningham
49%

Cunningham

49%

Tillis

41%
41%
TillisCunningham+8
U.S. Senate
MaineMaine
Jul 24-Aug 2, 2020
866 LV
Jul 24-Aug 2, 2020
866LVGideon
48%

Gideon

48%

Collins

45%
45%
CollinsGideon+3
U.S. Senate
IowaIowa
Jul 24-Aug 2, 2020
1,101 LV
Jul 24-Aug 2, 2020
1,101LVGreenfield
45%

Greenfield

45%

Ernst

43%
43%
ErnstGreenfield+2
U.S. Senate
Ariz.Ariz.
Jul 24-Aug 2, 2020
1,215 LV
Jul 24-Aug 2, 2020
1,215LVKelly
50%

Kelly

50%

McSally

40%
40%
McSallyKelly+10
U.S. Senate
Okla.Okla.
Jul 29-30, 2020
572 LV
Jul 29-30, 2020
572LVBroyles
34%

Broyles

34%

Inhofe

50%
50%
InhofeInhofe+16
U.S. Senate
IowaIowa
Jul 27-30, 2020
500 RV
Jul 27-30, 2020
500RVGreenfield
40%

Greenfield

40%

Ernst

36%
36%
ErnstGreenfield+4

Aug. 5, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
IowaIowa
Jul 30-Aug 3, 2020
401 LV
Jul 30-Aug 3, 2020
401LVGreenfield
47%

Greenfield

47%

Ernst

48%
48%
ErnstErnst+1
U.S. Senate
IowaIowa
Jul 30-Aug 3, 2020
401 LV
Jul 30-Aug 3, 2020
401LVGreenfield
47%

Greenfield

47%

Ernst

48%
48%
ErnstErnst+1
U.S. Senate
IowaIowa
Jul 30-Aug 3, 2020
401 RV
Jul 30-Aug 3, 2020
401RVGreenfield
45%

Greenfield

45%

Ernst

48%

Stewart

2%

Herzog

1%
MoreErnst+3
U.S. Senate
Ky.Ky.
Jul 25-29, 2020
3,020 RV
Jul 25-29, 2020
3,020RVMcGrath
46%

McGrath

46%

McConnell

49%

Barron

4%
MoreMcConnell+3
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Jul 13-16, 2020
600 LV
Jul 13-16, 2020
600LVPeters
51%

Peters

51%

James

40%
40%
JamesPeters+12
U.S. Senate
Ky.Ky.
Apr 7-12, 2020
4,000 RV
Apr 7-12, 2020
4,000RVMcGrath
38%

McGrath

38%

McConnell

40%

Barron

7%
MoreMcConnell+2

Aug. 4, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Jul 24-Aug 2, 2020
2,576 LV
Jul 24-Aug 2, 2020
2,576LVHegar
38%

Hegar

38%

Cornyn

44%
44%
CornynCornyn+6
U.S. Senate
S.C.S.C.
Jul 24-Aug 2, 2020
741 LV
Jul 24-Aug 2, 2020
741LVHarrison
43%

Harrison

43%

Graham

44%
44%
GrahamGraham+1
U.S. Senate
Ky.Ky.
Jul 24-Aug 2, 2020
793 LV
Jul 24-Aug 2, 2020
793LVMcGrath
36%

McGrath

36%

McConnell

53%
53%
McConnellMcConnell+17
U.S. Senate
Ala.Ala.
Jul 24-Aug 2, 2020
609 LV
Jul 24-Aug 2, 2020
609LVJones
35%

Jones

35%

Tuberville

52%
52%
TubervilleTuberville+17
U.S. Senate
TexasTexas
Jul 25-29, 2020
700 LV
Jul 25-29, 2020
700LVHegar
42%

Hegar

42%

Cornyn

43%
43%
CornynCornyn+1

Aug. 3, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Jul 31-Aug 2, 2020
584 LV
Jul 31-Aug 2, 2020
584LVBullock
44%

Bullock

44%

Daines

50%
50%
DainesDaines+6
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Jul 28-29, 2020
876 V
Jul 28-29, 2020
876VPeters
47%

Peters

47%

James

39%
39%
JamesPeters+8
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