UPDATED Jan. 28, 2022, at 9:15 AM

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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ky. Ky.
Jan 19-22, 2022
625 RV
Jan 19-22, 2022
625RVBooker
39%

Booker

39%

Paul

55%
55%
PaulPaul+16

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

 

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ga. Ga.
Jan 13-24, 2022
872 RV
Jan 13-24, 2022
872RVWarnock
46%

Warnock

46%

Black

41%
41%
BlackWarnock+5
U.S. Senate
Ga. Ga.
Jan 13-24, 2022
872 RV
Jan 13-24, 2022
872RVWarnock
44%

Warnock

44%

Walker

47%
47%
WalkerWalker+4

Jan. 25, 2022

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ariz. Ariz.
Jan 21-24, 2022
1,469 LV
Jan 21-24, 2022
1,469LVKelly
49%

Kelly

49%

Brnovich

47%
47%
BrnovichKelly+2
U.S. Senate
Ariz. Ariz.
Jan 21-24, 2022
1,469 LV
Jan 21-24, 2022
1,469LVKelly
50%

Kelly

50%

Ducey

47%
47%
DuceyKelly+3
U.S. Senate
Ga. Ga.
Jan 19-24, 2022
1,702 RV
Jan 19-24, 2022
1,702RVWarnock
48%

Warnock

48%

Walker

49%
49%
WalkerWalker+1

Jan. 18, 2022

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H. N.H.
Jan 11-12, 2022
1,215 RV
Jan 11-12, 2022
1,215RVHassan
42%

Hassan

42%

Smith

24%
24%
SmithHassan+18
U.S. Senate
N.H. N.H.
Jan 11-12, 2022
1,215 RV
Jan 11-12, 2022
1,215RVHassan
41%

Hassan

41%

Morse

27%
27%
MorseHassan+14
U.S. Senate
N.H. N.H.
Jan 11-12, 2022
1,215 RV
Jan 11-12, 2022
1,215RVHassan
43%

Hassan

43%

Bolduc

36%
36%
BolducHassan+7

Jan. 16, 2022

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Md. Md.
Nov 29-Dec 1, 2021
500 LV
Nov 29-Dec 1, 2021
500LVVan Hollen
37%

Van Hollen

37%

Hogan

49%
49%
HoganHogan+12
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