See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Aug. 3, 2020, at 6:38 PM

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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mont.Mont.
Jul 31-Aug 2, 2020
584 LV
Jul 31-Aug 2, 2020
584LVBullock
44%

Bullock

44%

Daines

50%
50%
DainesDaines+6
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Jul 28-29, 2020
876 V
Jul 28-29, 2020
876VPeters
47%

Peters

47%

James

39%
39%
JamesPeters+8

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

 

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ga.Ga.
Jul 28-31, 2020
1,101 LV
Jul 28-31, 2020
1,101LVOssoff
43%

Ossoff

43%

Perdue

45%
45%
PerduePerdue+2
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Jul 28-31, 2020
1,121 LV
Jul 28-31, 2020
1,121LVCunningham
48%

Cunningham

48%

Tillis

39%
39%
TillisCunningham+9

July 31, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Minn.Minn.
Jul 22-23, 2020
1,218 V
Jul 22-23, 2020
1,218VSmith
48%

Smith

48%

Lewis

39%
39%
LewisSmith+9

July 30, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Jul 22-24, 2020
735 LV
Jul 22-24, 2020
735LVCunningham
43%
Tie

Cunningham

43%

Tillis

43%

Hayes

2%

Bray

1%
MoreEven
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Jul 19-24, 2020
811 LV
Jul 19-24, 2020
811LVPeters
52%

Peters

52%

James

35%
35%
JamesPeters+17
U.S. Senate
Ariz.Ariz.
Jul 19-23, 2020
858 LV
Jul 19-23, 2020
858LVKelly
53%

Kelly

53%

McSally

35%
35%
McSallyKelly+18
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Jul 19-21, 2020
919 LV
Jul 19-21, 2020
919LVCunningham
47%

Cunningham

47%

Tillis

36%
36%
TillisCunningham+11

July 29, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Jul 16-28, 2020
1,893 LV
Jul 16-28, 2020
1,893LVShaheen
54%

Shaheen

54%

Messner

35%
35%
MessnerShaheen+19
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Jul 16-28, 2020
1,893 LV
Jul 16-28, 2020
1,893LVShaheen
54%

Shaheen

54%

Bolduc

35%
35%
BolducShaheen+19
U.S. Senate
Ga.Ga.
Jul 23-27, 2020
402 RV
Jul 23-27, 2020
402RVLoeffler
26%

Loeffler

26%

Collins

20%

Lieberman

14%

Warnock

9%

Tarver

5%

Slowinski

3%
MoreLoeffler+6
U.S. Senate
Ga.Ga.
Jul 23-27, 2020
402 LV
Jul 23-27, 2020
402LVOssoff
43%

Ossoff

43%

Perdue

51%
51%
PerduePerdue+8
U.S. Senate
Ga.Ga.
Jul 23-27, 2020
402 LV
Jul 23-27, 2020
402LVOssoff
43%

Ossoff

43%

Perdue

50%
50%
PerduePerdue+7
U.S. Senate
Ga.Ga.
Jul 23-27, 2020
402 RV
Jul 23-27, 2020
402RVOssoff
43%

Ossoff

43%

Perdue

49%

Hazel

1%
MorePerdue+6
U.S. Senate
N.C.N.C.
Jul 24-26, 2020
284 LV
Jul 24-26, 2020
284LVCunningham
52%

Cunningham

52%

Tillis

40%
40%
TillisCunningham+12
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Jul 24-26, 2020
413 LV
Jul 24-26, 2020
413LVPeters
48%

Peters

48%

James

44%
44%
JamesPeters+4
U.S. Senate
Ariz.Ariz.
Jul 24-26, 2020
365 LV
Jul 24-26, 2020
365LVKelly
47%

Kelly

47%

McSally

45%
45%
McSallyKelly+2
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Jul 19-21, 2020
600 LV
Jul 19-21, 2020
600LVPeters
41%

Peters

41%

James

34%
34%
JamesPeters+7
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Jun 18-22, 2020
932 LV
Jun 18-22, 2020
932LVShaheen
50%

Shaheen

50%

Messner

37%
37%
MessnerShaheen+13
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
Jun 18-22, 2020
931 LV
Jun 18-22, 2020
931LVShaheen
51%

Shaheen

51%

Bolduc

39%
39%
BolducShaheen+12
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
May 14-18, 2020
788 LV
May 14-18, 2020
788LVShaheen
52%

Shaheen

52%

Messner

34%
34%
MessnerShaheen+18
U.S. Senate
N.H.N.H.
May 14-18, 2020
790 LV
May 14-18, 2020
790LVShaheen
50%

Shaheen

50%

Bolduc

39%
39%
BolducShaheen+11
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