UPDATED Jun. 8, 2021, at 8:24 PM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
AlaskaAlaska
May 22-25, 2021
1,023 LV
May 22-25, 2021
1,023LVGross
46%

Gross

46%

Tshibaka

54%
54%
TshibakaTshibaka+8
U.S. Senate
AlaskaAlaska
May 22-25, 2021
1,023 LV
May 22-25, 2021
1,023LVGross
25%

Gross

25%

Tshibaka

39%

Murkowski

19%

Howe

4%
MoreTshibaka+14

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

May 31, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Wash.Wash.
May 25-26, 2021
992 LV
May 25-26, 2021
992LVMurray
53%

Murray

53%

Smiley

37%
37%
SmileyMurray+16

May 19, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Pa.Pa.
May 7-14, 2021
651 LV
May 7-14, 2021
651LVFetterman
48%

Fetterman

48%

Parnell

40%
40%
ParnellFetterman+8
U.S. Senate
Pa.Pa.
May 7-14, 2021
651 LV
May 7-14, 2021
651LVFetterman
48%

Fetterman

48%

Bartos

38%
38%
BartosFetterman+10

May 12, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ariz.Ariz.
May 3-5, 2021
935 RV
May 3-5, 2021
935RVKelly
46%

Kelly

46%

Brnovich

36%
36%
BrnovichKelly+10
U.S. Senate
Ariz.Ariz.
May 3-5, 2021
935 RV
May 3-5, 2021
935RVKelly
44%

Kelly

44%

McGuire

35%
35%
McGuireKelly+9
U.S. Senate
Ariz.Ariz.
May 3-5, 2021
935 RV
May 3-5, 2021
935RVKelly
47%

Kelly

47%

Biggs

36%
36%
BiggsKelly+11
U.S. Senate
Ariz.Ariz.
May 3-5, 2021
935 RV
May 3-5, 2021
935RVKelly
47%

Kelly

47%

Ward

36%
36%
WardKelly+11
U.S. Senate
Ariz.Ariz.
May 3-5, 2021
935 RV
May 3-5, 2021
935RVKelly
46%

Kelly

46%

Lake

35%
35%
LakeKelly+11
U.S. Senate
Ariz.Ariz.
May 3-5, 2021
935 RV
May 3-5, 2021
935RVKelly
43%

Kelly

43%

McCain

29%
29%
McCainKelly+14
U.S. Senate
Ariz.Ariz.
May 3-5, 2021
935 RV
May 3-5, 2021
935RVKelly
45%

Kelly

45%

Yee

35%
35%
YeeKelly+10

April 18, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mo.Mo.
Apr 7-8, 2021
936 LV
Apr 7-8, 2021
936LVNixon
42%

Nixon

42%

Schmitt

50%
50%
SchmittSchmitt+8
U.S. Senate
Mo.Mo.
Apr 7-8, 2021
936 LV
Apr 7-8, 2021
936LVNixon
44%

Nixon

44%

Greitens

48%
48%
GreitensGreitens+4
U.S. Senate
Mo.Mo.
Apr 7-8, 2021
936 LV
Apr 7-8, 2021
936LVSifton
39%

Sifton

39%

Schmitt

51%
51%
SchmittSchmitt+12
U.S. Senate
Mo.Mo.
Apr 7-8, 2021
936 LV
Apr 7-8, 2021
936LVSifton
42%

Sifton

42%

Greitens

49%
49%
GreitensGreitens+7
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