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Who’s ahead in the Montana Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

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LIKELY VOTERS

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PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Montana, 2020, General election

Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2020
920LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2020
920LV
Change Research
 Bullock
46%
 Bullock
46%

Bullock

46%

Daines

50%
50%
Daines  Daines+4
Oct. 26-27, 2020
886V
Oct. 26-27, 2020
886V
Public Policy Polling
 Bullock
48%
 Bullock
48%

Bullock

48%

Daines

47%
47%
Daines  Bullock+1
Oct. 19-24, 2020
546LV
Oct. 19-24, 2020
546LV
Montana State University Billings
 Bullock
48%
 Bullock
48%

Bullock

48%

Daines

47%
47%
Daines  Bullock+1
Oct. 18-20, 2020
758LV
Oct. 18-20, 2020
758LV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Bullock
46%
 Bullock
46%

Bullock

46%

Daines

49%
49%
Daines  Daines+3
Oct. 15-20, 2020
500LV
Oct. 15-20, 2020
500LV
Strategies 360
 Bullock
47%
 Bullock
47%

Bullock

47%

Daines

48%
48%
Daines  Daines+1
Oct. 15-18, 2020
800LV
Oct. 15-18, 2020
800LV
RMG Research
 Bullock
47%
 Bullock
47%

Bullock

47%

Daines

49%
49%
Daines  Daines+2
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Campaign poll

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