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Who’s ahead in the Texas Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2020, General election

Oct. 27-Nov. 2
1,042LV
Oct. 27-Nov. 2
1,042LV
Swayable
 Hegar
44%
 Hegar
44%

Hegar

44%

Cornyn

57%
57%
Cornyn  Cornyn+13
Oct. 27-Nov. 1
926LV
Oct. 27-Nov. 1
926LV
Data for Progress
 Hegar
47%
 Hegar
47%

Hegar

47%

Cornyn

50%

Turullols-Bonilla

2%

McKennon

1%
50%
 CornynCornyn+3
Oct. 29-31
763LV
Oct. 29-31
763LV
Emerson College
 Hegar
47%
 Hegar
47%

Hegar

47%

Cornyn

51%
51%
Cornyn  Cornyn+4
Oct. 22-31
3,267LV
Oct. 22-31
3,267LV
Morning Consult
 Hegar
43%
 Hegar
43%

Hegar

43%

Cornyn

47%
47%
Cornyn  Cornyn+4
Oct. 27-28
800LV
Oct. 27-28
800LV
RMG Research
 Hegar
42%
 Hegar
42%

Hegar

42%

Cornyn

48%
48%
Cornyn  Cornyn+6
Oct. 27-28
670LV
Oct. 27-28
670LV
Gravis Marketing
 Hegar
43%
 Hegar
43%

Hegar

43%

Cornyn

49%
49%
Cornyn  Cornyn+6
Oct. 23-26
492LV
Oct. 23-26
492LV
Swayable
 Hegar
48%
 Hegar
48%

Hegar

48%

Cornyn

52%
52%
Cornyn  Cornyn+5
Oct. 20-26
873LV
Oct. 20-26
873LV
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion
 Hegar
44%
 Hegar
44%

Hegar

44%

Cornyn

49%
49%
Cornyn  Cornyn+5
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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