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Who’s ahead in the Florida Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

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VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Florida, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 4-6
450LV
Nov. 4-6
450LV
Research Co.
 Demings
44%
 Demings
44%

Demings

44%

Rubio

54%
54%
Rubio  Rubio+10
Nov. 2-6
1,436LV
Nov. 2-6
1,436LV
Data for Progress
 Demings
43%
 Demings
43%

Demings

43%

Rubio

55%

Misigoy

1%
55%
 RubioRubio+12
Nov. 1-2
600LV
Nov. 1-2
600LV
Amber Integrated
 Demings
40%
 Demings
40%

Demings

40%

Rubio

49%

Misigoy

3%
49%
 RubioRubio+9
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
772LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
772LV
Civiqs
 Demings
45%
 Demings
45%

Demings

45%

Rubio

52%
52%
Rubio  Rubio+7
Nov. 1
550LV
Nov. 1
550LV
InsiderAdvantage
 Demings
45%
 Demings
45%

Demings

45%

Rubio

51%
51%
Rubio  Rubio+6
Oct. 30-Nov. 1
500LV
Oct. 30-Nov. 1
500LV
Victory Insights
 Demings
46%
 Demings
46%

Demings

46%

Rubio

50%
50%
Rubio  Rubio+4
Oct. 30-Nov. 1
659LV
Oct. 30-Nov. 1
659LV
Siena College
 Demings
43%
 Demings
43%

Demings

43%

Rubio

51%
51%
Rubio  Rubio+8
Oct. 20-31
1,117RV
Oct. 20-31
1,117RV
YouGov
 Demings
44%
 Demings
44%

Demings

44%

Rubio

51%
51%
Rubio  Rubio+7
Oct. 17-24
622LV
Oct. 17-24
622LV
University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab
 Demings
43%
 Demings
43%

Demings

43%

Rubio

54%
54%
Rubio  Rubio+11
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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