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Who’s ahead in the Illinois Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Illinois, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 4-6
450LV
Nov. 4-6
450LV
Research Co.
 Duckworth
58%
 Duckworth
58%

Duckworth

58%

Salvi

40%
40%
Salvi  Duckworth+18
Oct. 22-25
659LV
Oct. 22-25
659LV
Civiqs
 Duckworth
56%
 Duckworth
56%

Duckworth

56%

Salvi

40%
40%
Salvi  Duckworth+16
Oct. 20-24
1,000LV
Oct. 20-24
1,000LV
Emerson College
 Duckworth
49%
 Duckworth
49%

Duckworth

49%

Salvi

39%

Redpath

2%
39%
 SalviDuckworth+10
Oct. 10-11
770LV
Oct. 10-11
770LV
Public Policy Polling
 Duckworth
50%
 Duckworth
50%

Duckworth

50%

Salvi

36%

Redpath

5%
36%
 SalviDuckworth+14
Oct. 5-11
1,000RV
Oct. 5-11
1,000RV
Research America
 Duckworth
48%
 Duckworth
48%

Duckworth

48%

Salvi

29%

Redpath

6%
29%
 SalviDuckworth+20
Sept. 21-23
1,000LV
Sept. 21-23
1,000LV
Emerson College
 Duckworth
50%
 Duckworth
50%

Duckworth

50%

Salvi

31%
31%
Salvi  Duckworth+19
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

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