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Who’s ahead in the New York Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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ADULTS

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VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, New York, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 4-6
450LV
Nov. 4-6
450LV
Research Co.
 Schumer
59%
 Schumer
59%

Schumer

59%

Pinion

39%
39%
Pinion  Schumer+20
Aug. 8-Nov. 6
279LV
Aug. 8-Nov. 6
279LV
ActiVote
 Schumer
60%
 Schumer
60%

Schumer

60%

Pinion

40%
40%
Pinion  Schumer+20
Oct. 28-31
1,000LV
Oct. 28-31
1,000LV
Emerson College
 Schumer
57%
 Schumer
57%

Schumer

57%

Pinion

39%

Sare

1%
39%
 PinionSchumer+19
Oct. 27-31
1,198LV
Oct. 27-31
1,198LV

Trafalgar Group is a partisan pollster for the Republican Party.

Trafalgar Group
 Schumer
51%
 Schumer
51%

Schumer

51%

Pinion

40%

Sare

5%
40%
 PinionSchumer+11
Oct. 27-29
501LV
Oct. 27-29
501LV
KAConsulting
 Schumer
50%
 Schumer
50%

Schumer

50%

Pinion

38%
38%
Pinion  Schumer+12
Oct. 26-28
818LV
Oct. 26-28
818LV
Data for Progress
 Schumer
56%
 Schumer
56%

Schumer

56%

Pinion

39%
39%
Pinion  Schumer+17
Oct. 24-26
1,001A
Oct. 24-26
1,001A
Long Island University Steven S. Hornstein Center for Policy, Polling, and Analysis
 Schumer
54%
 Schumer
54%

Schumer

54%

Pinion

27%
27%
Pinion  Schumer+27
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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