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Who’s ahead in the Ohio Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Ohio, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 4-7
716LV
Nov. 4-7
716LV
Civiqs
 Ryan
46%
 Ryan
46%

Ryan

46%

Vance

51%
51%
Vance  Vance+5
Nov. 4-6
450LV
Nov. 4-6
450LV
Research Co.
 Ryan
46%
 Ryan
46%

Ryan

46%

Vance

54%
54%
Vance  Vance+8
Nov. 2-6
505LV
Nov. 2-6
505LV
Targoz Market Research
 Ryan
45%
 Ryan
45%

Ryan

45%

Vance

52%
52%
Vance  Vance+7
Nov. 2-6
814RV
Nov. 2-6
814RV
Targoz Market Research
 Ryan
43%
 Ryan
43%

Ryan

43%

Vance

44%
44%
Vance  Vance+1
Nov. 3-5
1,123LV
Nov. 3-5
1,123LV

Trafalgar Group is a partisan pollster for the Republican Party.

Trafalgar Group
 Ryan
44%
 Ryan
44%

Ryan

44%

Vance

54%
54%
Vance  Vance+10
Nov. 2-5
1,413LV
Nov. 2-5
1,413LV
Data for Progress
 Ryan
45%
 Ryan
45%

Ryan

45%

Vance

55%
55%
Vance  Vance+10
Nov. 1-3
1,498LV
Nov. 1-3
1,498LV
Cygnal
 Ryan
43%
 Ryan
43%

Ryan

43%

Vance

49%
49%
Vance  Vance+6
Nov. 1-2
1,125LV
Nov. 1-2
1,125LV
Remington Research Group
 Ryan
43%
 Ryan
43%

Ryan

43%

Vance

48%
48%
Vance  Vance+5
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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