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Who’s ahead in the Oklahoma Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 5, 2022

U.S. Senate, Oklahoma, 2022, Special general

Nov. 5-6
682LV
Nov. 5-6
682LV
Ascend Action
 K. Horn
41%
 K. Horn
41%

K. Horn

41%

Mullin

53%

Woods

2%

Murphy

1%
53%
 MullinMullin+12

U.S. Senate, Oklahoma, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 5-6
682LV
Nov. 5-6
682LV
Ascend Action
 M. Horn
36%
 M. Horn
36%

M. Horn

36%

Lankford

56%

Delaney

2%

Blevins

1%
56%
 LankfordLankford+20

Oct. 27, 2022

U.S. Senate, Oklahoma, 2022, Special general

Oct. 26-28
501LV
Oct. 26-28
501LV
Amber Integrated
 K. Horn
41%
 K. Horn
41%

K. Horn

41%

Mullin

52%

Murphy

2%

Woods

2%
52%
 MullinMullin+11
Oct. 25-28
1,000LV
Oct. 25-28
1,000LV
Emerson College
 K. Horn
36%
 K. Horn
36%

K. Horn

36%

Mullin

59%

Woods

4%

Murphy

1%
59%
 MullinMullin+23
Oct. 24-28
749LV
Oct. 24-28
749LV
Ascend Action
 K. Horn
41%
 K. Horn
41%

K. Horn

41%

Mullin

47%

Murphy

2%

Woods

2%
47%
 MullinMullin+6

U.S. Senate, Oklahoma, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 26-28
501LV
Oct. 26-28
501LV
Amber Integrated
 M. Horn
38%
 M. Horn
38%

M. Horn

38%

Lankford

52%

Delaney

4%

Blevins

3%
52%
 LankfordLankford+14
Oct. 25-28
1,000LV
Oct. 25-28
1,000LV
Emerson College
 M. Horn
34%
 M. Horn
34%

M. Horn

34%

Lankford

62%

Delaney

3%

Blevins

1%
62%
 LankfordLankford+27
Oct. 24-28
749LV
Oct. 24-28
749LV
Ascend Action
 M. Horn
34%
 M. Horn
34%

M. Horn

34%

Lankford

51%

Delaney

3%

Blevins

2%
51%
 LankfordLankford+17

Oct. 14, 2022

U.S. Senate, Oklahoma, 2022, Special general

Oct. 13-15
500LV
Oct. 13-15
500LV
Amber Integrated
 K. Horn
39%
 K. Horn
39%

K. Horn

39%

Mullin

52%

Murphy

3%

Woods

2%
52%
 MullinMullin+13

U.S. Senate, Oklahoma, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 13-15
500LV
Oct. 13-15
500LV
Amber Integrated
 M. Horn
36%
 M. Horn
36%

M. Horn

36%

Lankford

52%

Delaney

4%

Blevins

3%
52%
 LankfordLankford+16

Oct. 11, 2022

U.S. Senate, Oklahoma, 2022, Special general

Oct. 10-12
638LV
Oct. 10-12
638LV
Ascend Action
 K. Horn
39%
 K. Horn
39%

K. Horn

39%

Mullin

50%

Woods

1%

Murphy

0%
50%
 MullinMullin+11

U.S. Senate, Oklahoma, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 10-12
638LV
Oct. 10-12
638LV
Ascend Action
 M. Horn
37%
 M. Horn
37%

M. Horn

37%

Lankford

51%

Delaney

2%

Blevins

1%
51%
 LankfordLankford+14

Oct. 5, 2022

U.S. Senate, Oklahoma, 2022, Special general

Oct. 4-6
301LV
Oct. 4-6
301LV
SoonerPoll
 K. Horn
42%
 K. Horn
42%

K. Horn

42%

Mullin

51%

Woods

3%
51%
 MullinMullin+9

U.S. Senate, Oklahoma, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 4-6
301LV
Oct. 4-6
301LV
SoonerPoll
 M. Horn
40%
 M. Horn
40%

M. Horn

40%

Lankford

52%

Delaney

2%

Blevins

0%
52%
 LankfordLankford+11
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

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