Filter by poll type or state

Who’s ahead in the Pennsylvania Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 5-7
800LV
Nov. 5-7
800LV
Fetterman
53%
Fetterman
53%

Fetterman

53%

Oz

47%
47%
Oz  Fetterman+6
Nov. 4-6
450LV
Nov. 4-6
450LV
Fetterman
49%
Fetterman
49%

Fetterman

49%

Oz

48%
48%
Oz  Fetterman+1
Nov. 2-6
631LV
Nov. 2-6
631LV
Fetterman
46%
Fetterman
46%

Fetterman

46%

Oz

51%

Gerhardt

2%
51%
OzOz+5
Nov. 2-6
904RV
Nov. 2-6
904RV
Fetterman
47%
Fetterman
47%

Fetterman

47%

Oz

41%

Gerhardt

3%
41%
OzFetterman+6
Nov. 2-5
846RV
Nov. 2-5
846RV
Fetterman
46%
Fetterman
46%

Fetterman

46%

Oz

49%
49%
Oz  Oz+3
Nov. 3
750LV
Nov. 3
750LV
Fetterman
46%
Fetterman
46%

Fetterman

46%

Oz

48%

Gerhardt

2%
48%
OzOz+2
Nov. 1-3
1,097LV
Nov. 1-3
1,097LV
Fetterman
46%
Fetterman
46%

Fetterman

46%

Oz

48%
48%
Oz  Oz+2
Nov. 1-2
1,180LV
Nov. 1-2
1,180LV
Fetterman
44%
Fetterman
44%

Fetterman

44%

Oz

47%

Gerhardt

2%

Weiss

1%
47%
OzOz+3
Oct. 31-Nov. 2
1,152RV
Oct. 31-Nov. 2
1,152RV
Fetterman
50%
Fetterman
50%

Fetterman

50%

Oz

44%
44%
Oz  Fetterman+6
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

No matching polls

More on the polls
Read about how we use polls
Our Polls Policy And FAQs
Download the data
Download