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Who’s ahead in the Utah Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Utah, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 29-30
500LV
Oct. 29-30
500LV
Hill Research Consultants
 McMullin
46%
 McMullin
46%

McMullin

46%

Lee

47%
47%
Lee  Lee+1
Oct. 25-28
825LV
Oct. 25-28
825LV
Emerson College
 McMullin
40%
 McMullin
40%

McMullin

40%

Lee

50%

Hansen

5%

Williams

3%
50%
 LeeLee+10
Oct. 25-27
600LV
Oct. 25-27
600LV
OH Predictive Insights
 McMullin
36%
 McMullin
36%

McMullin

36%

Lee

51%

Hansen

3%

Williams

1%
51%
 LeeLee+15
Oct. 8-11
500LV
Oct. 8-11
500LV
Hill Research Consultants
 McMullin
49%
 McMullin
49%

McMullin

49%

Lee

43%

Hansen

4%
43%
 LeeMcMullin+6
Oct. 4-11
239LV
Oct. 4-11
239LV

Center Street PAC is a partisan pollster for the Democratic Party.

Center Street PAC
 McMullin
38%
 McMullin
38%

McMullin

38%

Lee

50%
50%
Lee  Lee+12
Oct. 4-11
406RV
Oct. 4-11
406RV

Center Street PAC is a partisan pollster for the Democratic Party.

Center Street PAC
 McMullin
37%
 McMullin
37%

McMullin

37%

Lee

38%
38%
Lee  Lee+1
Oct. 5-6
483LV
Oct. 5-6
483LV
OH Predictive Insights
 McMullin
32%
 McMullin
32%

McMullin

32%

Lee

47%

Hansen

3%

Williams

2%
47%
 LeeLee+15
Oct. 3-6
773LV
Oct. 3-6
773LV
Dan Jones & Associates
 McMullin
37%
 McMullin
37%

McMullin

37%

Lee

42%
42%
Lee  Lee+5
Oct. 3-6
801RV
Oct. 3-6
801RV
Dan Jones & Associates
 McMullin
37%
 McMullin
37%

McMullin

37%

Lee

41%

Williams

2%

Hansen

1%
41%
 LeeLee+4
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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