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Who’s ahead in the Washington Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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ADULTS

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VOTERS

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LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Washington, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 3-5
500LV
Nov. 3-5
500LV
Moore Information
 Murray
47%
 Murray
47%

Murray

47%

Smiley

47%
47%
Smiley  Even
Oct. 31
550LV
Oct. 31
550LV
InsiderAdvantage
 Murray
48%
 Murray
48%

Murray

48%

Smiley

46%
46%
Smiley  Murray+2
Oct. 25-28
1,207LV
Oct. 25-28
1,207LV

Trafalgar Group is a partisan pollster for the Republican Party.

Trafalgar Group
 Murray
49%
 Murray
49%

Murray

49%

Smiley

48%
48%
Smiley  Murray+1
Oct. 26-27
506LV
Oct. 26-27
506LV
Triton Polling & Research
 Murray
51%
 Murray
51%

Murray

51%

Smiley

45%
45%
Smiley  Murray+5
Oct. 20-22
500LV
Oct. 20-22
500LV
Moore Information
 Murray
46%
 Murray
46%

Murray

46%

Smiley

46%
46%
Smiley  Even
Oct. 20-22
500LV
Oct. 20-22
500LV
KAConsulting
 Murray
48%
 Murray
48%

Murray

48%

Smiley

42%
42%
Smiley  Murray+6
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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