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Who’s ahead in the Wisconsin Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 4-7
739LV
Nov. 4-7
739LV
Civiqs
 Barnes
49%
 Barnes
49%

Barnes

49%

Johnson

50%
50%
Johnson  Johnson+1
Nov. 4-6
450LV
Nov. 4-6
450LV
Research Co.
 Barnes
47%
 Barnes
47%

Barnes

47%

Johnson

53%
53%
Johnson  Johnson+6
Nov. 2-5
1,504LV
Nov. 2-5
1,504LV
Data for Progress
 Barnes
47%
 Barnes
47%

Barnes

47%

Johnson

53%
53%
Johnson  Johnson+6
Nov. 2-4
1,095LV
Nov. 2-4
1,095LV

Trafalgar Group is a partisan pollster for the Republican Party.

Trafalgar Group
 Barnes
47%
 Barnes
47%

Barnes

47%

Johnson

50%
50%
Johnson  Johnson+3
Oct. 24-Nov. 1
679LV
Oct. 24-Nov. 1
679LV
Marquette University Law School
 Barnes
48%
 Barnes
48%

Barnes

48%

Johnson

50%
50%
Johnson  Johnson+2
Oct. 24-Nov. 1
802RV
Oct. 24-Nov. 1
802RV
Marquette University Law School
 Barnes
45%
 Barnes
45%

Barnes

45%

Johnson

48%
48%
Johnson  Johnson+3
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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