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Who’s ahead in the Arizona Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 3, 2024

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 3-4
875LV
Nov. 3-4
875LV
Gallego
48%
Gallego
48%

Gallego

48%

Lake

48%
48%
Lake  Lake+1

Nov. 2, 2024

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3
750LV
Nov. 2-3
750LV
Gallego
50%
Gallego
50%

Gallego

50%

Lake

47%
47%
Lake  Gallego+3
Nov. 1-3
1,090LV
Nov. 1-3
1,090LV
Gallego
49%
Gallego
49%

Gallego

49%

Lake

49%
49%
Lake  Gallego+1
Nov. 1-3
801RV
Nov. 1-3
801RV
Gallego
51%
Gallego
51%

Gallego

51%

Lake

48%
48%
Lake  Gallego+2

Nov. 1, 2024

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-2
800LV
Nov. 1-2
800LV
Gallego
49%
Gallego
49%

Gallego

49%

Lake

47%
47%
Lake  Gallego+2
Nov. 1-2
967LV
Nov. 1-2
967LV
Gallego
47%
Gallego
47%

Gallego

47%

Lake

49%
49%
Lake  Lake+2
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
900LV
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
900LV
Gallego
50%
Gallego
50%

Gallego

50%

Lake

45%
45%
Lake  Gallego+5
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
1,025LV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
1,025LV
Gallego
50%
Gallego
50%

Gallego

50%

Lake

45%
45%
Lake  Gallego+5
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
1,025RV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
1,025RV
Gallego
51%
Gallego
51%

Gallego

51%

Lake

43%
43%
Lake  Gallego+8

Oct. 30, 2024

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 30-31
1,005LV
Oct. 30-31
1,005LV
Gallego
48%
Gallego
48%

Gallego

48%

Lake

49%
49%
Lake  Lake+1
Oct. 29-31
800LV
Oct. 29-31
800LV
Gallego
48%
Gallego
48%

Gallego

48%

Lake

48%
48%
Lake  Even
Oct. 25-31
856LV
Oct. 25-31
856LV
Gallego
49%
Gallego
49%

Gallego

49%

Lake

45%
45%
Lake  Gallego+4
Oct. 25-31
880RV
Oct. 25-31
880RV
Gallego
49%
Gallego
49%

Gallego

49%

Lake

44%
44%
Lake  Gallego+5
Oct. 5-31
400LV
Oct. 5-31
400LV
Gallego
54%
Gallego
54%

Gallego

54%

Lake

46%
46%
Lake  Gallego+9

Oct. 29, 2024

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 28-30
775LV
Oct. 28-30
775LV
Gallego
48%
Gallego
48%

Gallego

48%

Lake

44%

Quintana

2%
44%
LakeGallego+4
Oct. 25-30
1,079LV
Oct. 25-30
1,079LV
Gallego
50%
Gallego
50%

Gallego

50%

Lake

45%

Quintana

2%
45%
LakeGallego+5
Oct. 21-30
666LV
Oct. 21-30
666LV
Gallego
50%
Gallego
50%

Gallego

50%

Lake

42%
42%
Lake  Gallego+8
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