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Who’s ahead in the Arizona Senate Republican primary?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, Republican primary

July 22-23
438LV
July 22-23
438LV
Lake
50%
Lake
50%

Lake

50%

Lamb

38%

Reye

3%
38%
LambLake+12
May 7-14
364RV
May 7-14
364RV
Lake
46%
Lake
46%

Lake

46%

Lamb

21%
21%
Lamb  Lake+25
Feb. 21-26
469LV
Feb. 21-26
469LV
Lake
55%
Lake
55%

Lake

55%

Lamb

26%
26%
Lamb  Lake+29
Feb. 6-13
351RV
Feb. 6-13
351RV
Lake
54%
Lake
54%

Lake

54%

Lamb

21%

Wright

6%

Nicholson

2%
21%
LambLake+33
Aug. 2-4
590RV
Aug. 2-4
590RV
Lake
42%
Lake
42%

Lake

42%

Lamb

11%

Masters

7%

Hamadeh

5%

Wright

2%

Lamon

2%

Walker

1%
11%
LambLake+31
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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