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Who’s ahead in the Florida Senate general?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Florida, 2024, General election

Sept. 6-9
1,465LV
Sept. 6-9
1,465LV
Mucarsel-Powell
41%
Mucarsel-Powell
41%

Mucarsel-Powell

41%

Scott

44%

Bonoan

1%
44%
ScottScott+3
Aug. 30-Sept. 8
3,182LV
Aug. 30-Sept. 8
3,182LV
Mucarsel-Powell
42%
Mucarsel-Powell
42%

Mucarsel-Powell

42%

Scott

47%
47%
Scott  Scott+5
Sept. 3-5
815LV
Sept. 3-5
815LV
Mucarsel-Powell
45%
Mucarsel-Powell
45%

Mucarsel-Powell

45%

Scott

46%
46%
Scott  Scott+1
Aug. 25-28
850LV
Aug. 25-28
850LV
Mucarsel-Powell
40%
Mucarsel-Powell
40%

Mucarsel-Powell

40%

Scott

43%

Bonoan

1%
43%
ScottScott+3
Aug. 15-26
600LV
Aug. 15-26
600LV
Mucarsel-Powell
44%
Mucarsel-Powell
44%

Mucarsel-Powell

44%

Scott

51%
51%
Scott  Scott+7
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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