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Who’s ahead in the Massachusetts Senate general election?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Massachusetts, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 2-30
400LV
Oct. 2-30
400LV
Warren
63%
Warren
63%

Warren

63%

Deaton

37%
37%
Deaton  Warren+26
Oct. 24-26
1,000LV
Oct. 24-26
1,000LV
Warren
56%
Warren
56%

Warren

56%

Deaton

36%
36%
Deaton  Warren+20
Oct. 3-10
700A
Oct. 3-10
700A
Warren
56%
Warren
56%

Warren

56%

Deaton

34%
34%
Deaton  Warren+22
Oct. 1-5
500LV
Oct. 1-5
500LV
Warren
59%
Warren
59%

Warren

59%

Deaton

35%
35%
Deaton  Warren+24
Sept. 19-21
638LV
Sept. 19-21
638LV
Warren
53%
Warren
53%

Warren

53%

Deaton

32%
32%
Deaton  Warren+21
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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