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Who’s ahead in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2024, Democratic primary

June 3
268LV
June 3
268LV
Slotkin
53%
Slotkin
53%

Slotkin

53%

Harper

8%

Beydoun

1%
8%
HarperSlotkin+45
March 15-16
260LV
March 15-16
260LV
Slotkin
59%
Slotkin
59%

Slotkin

59%

Harper

11%

Beydoun

3%
11%
HarperSlotkin+48
Jan. 4-10
600LV
Jan. 4-10
600LV
Slotkin
65%
Slotkin
65%

Slotkin

65%

Harper

7%

Love

2%

Beydoun

0%
7%
HarperSlotkin+58
Dec. 28-29
549LV
Dec. 28-29
549LV
Slotkin
57%
Slotkin
57%

Slotkin

57%

Harper

15%
15%
Harper  Slotkin+42
Dec. 28-29
549LV
Dec. 28-29
549LV
Slotkin
53%
Slotkin
53%

Slotkin

53%

Harper

13%

Love

5%

Beydoun

1%
13%
HarperSlotkin+40
Aug. 1-2
551RV
Aug. 1-2
551RV
Slotkin
34%
Slotkin
34%

Slotkin

34%

Harper

8%

Burns

3%

Purifoy

3%

Beydoun

2%

Love

2%

Pugh

1%
8%
HarperSlotkin+26
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

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