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Who’s ahead in the Michigan Senate Republican primary?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2024, Republican primary

July 8-10
500LV
July 8-10
500LV
Rogers
52%
Rogers
52%

Rogers

52%

Amash

14%

Pensler

14%

O'Donnell

5%
14%
AmashRogers+38
June 3
266LV
June 3
266LV
Rogers
28%
Rogers
28%

Rogers

28%

Amash

8%

Pensler

3%

O'Donnell

0%
8%
AmashRogers+20
May 22-23
486LV
May 22-23
486LV
Rogers
36%
Rogers
36%

Rogers

36%

Pensler

22%
22%
Pensler  Rogers+14
May 22-23
486LV
May 22-23
486LV
Rogers
30%
Rogers
30%

Rogers

30%

Pensler

12%

Amash

11%

O'Donnell

3%
12%
PenslerRogers+18
April 30-May 1
545LV
April 30-May 1
545LV
Rogers
32%
Rogers
32%

Rogers

32%

Amash

8%

Pensler

3%

O'Donnell

2%
8%
AmashRogers+24
March 15-16
288LV
March 15-16
288LV
Rogers
27%
Rogers
27%

Rogers

27%

Meijer

7%

Amash

6%

Pensler

1%
7%
MeijerRogers+20
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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