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Who’s ahead in the Missouri Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 2, 2024

U.S. Senate, Missouri, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3
450LV
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Kunce
43%
Kunce
43%

Kunce

43%

Hawley

54%
54%
Hawley  Hawley+11

Oct. 26, 2024

U.S. Senate, Missouri, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 6-27
400LV
Oct. 6-27
400LV
Kunce
44%
Kunce
44%

Kunce

44%

Hawley

56%
56%
Hawley  Hawley+13

Oct. 25, 2024

U.S. Senate, Missouri, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 23-26
600LV
Oct. 23-26
600LV
Kunce
46%
Kunce
46%

Kunce

46%

Hawley

49%
49%
Hawley  Hawley+3

Oct. 22, 2024

U.S. Senate, Missouri, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 22-23
620LV
Oct. 22-23
620LV
Kunce
41%
Kunce
41%

Kunce

41%

Hawley

51%

Kline

1%

Young

1%

Young

0%
51%
HawleyHawley+10

Sept. 30, 2024

U.S. Senate, Missouri, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 1-Oct. 1
400LV
Sept. 1-Oct. 1
400LV
Kunce
46%
Kunce
46%

Kunce

46%

Hawley

54%
54%
Hawley  Hawley+8
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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