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Who’s ahead in the Missouri Senate general election?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Missouri, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 1-Oct. 1
400LV
Sept. 1-Oct. 1
400LV
Kunce
46%
Kunce
46%

Kunce

46%

Hawley

54%
54%
Hawley  Hawley+8
Sept. 12-13
850LV
Sept. 12-13
850LV
Kunce
40%
Kunce
40%

Kunce

40%

Hawley

51%
51%
Hawley  Hawley+12
Sept. 11-13
1,237RV
Sept. 11-13
1,237RV
Kunce
41%
Kunce
41%

Kunce

41%

Hawley

46%
46%
Hawley  Hawley+5
Sept. 6-12
645LV
Sept. 6-12
645LV
Kunce
48%
Kunce
48%

Kunce

48%

Hawley

52%
52%
Hawley  Hawley+4
Sept. 6-12
645LV
Sept. 6-12
645LV
Kunce
46%
Kunce
46%

Kunce

46%

Hawley

50%

Young

1%

Young

1%
50%
HawleyHawley+4
Sept. 4-5
816LV
Sept. 4-5
816LV
Kunce
37%
Kunce
37%

Kunce

37%

Hawley

52%
52%
Hawley  Hawley+15
Aug. 8-16
900LV
Aug. 8-16
900LV
Kunce
42%
Kunce
42%

Kunce

42%

Hawley

53%
53%
Hawley  Hawley+11
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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