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Who’s ahead in the Montana Senate general election?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Montana, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 5-8
656LV
Oct. 5-8
656LV
Tester
44%
Tester
44%

Tester

44%

Sheehy

52%
52%
Sheehy  Sheehy+8
Oct. 5-8
656RV
Oct. 5-8
656RV
Tester
44%
Tester
44%

Tester

44%

Sheehy

51%
51%
Sheehy  Sheehy+7
Sept. 29-Oct. 1
500LV
Sept. 29-Oct. 1
500LV
Tester
45%
Tester
45%

Tester

45%

Sheehy

51%

Daoud

1%

Barb

0%
51%
SheehySheehy+6
Sept. 16-20
800LV
Sept. 16-20
800LV
Tester
44%
Tester
44%

Tester

44%

Sheehy

52%
52%
Sheehy  Sheehy+8
Sept. 12-19
491LV
Sept. 12-19
491LV
Tester
43%
Tester
43%

Tester

43%

Sheehy

50%
50%
Sheehy  Sheehy+7
Aug. 25-29
600LV
Aug. 25-29
600LV
Tester
45%
Tester
45%

Tester

45%

Sheehy

51%
51%
Sheehy  Sheehy+6
Aug. 25-29
600LV
Aug. 25-29
600LV
Tester
41%
Tester
41%

Tester

41%

Sheehy

49%

Daoud

4%

Downey

1%
49%
SheehySheehy+8
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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