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Who’s ahead in the New Mexico Senate general election?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, New Mexico, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 12-18
619LV
Sept. 12-18
619LV
Heinrich
47%
Heinrich
47%

Heinrich

47%

Domenici

34%
34%
Domenici  Heinrich+13
Sept. 6-13
532LV
Sept. 6-13
532LV
Heinrich
50%
Heinrich
50%

Heinrich

50%

Domenici

38%
38%
Domenici  Heinrich+12
Sept. 6-9
521LV
Sept. 6-9
521LV
Heinrich
47%
Heinrich
47%

Heinrich

47%

Domenici

37%
37%
Domenici  Heinrich+10
Aug. 25-28
488LV
Aug. 25-28
488LV
Heinrich
43%
Heinrich
43%

Heinrich

43%

Domenici

33%
33%
Domenici  Heinrich+10
Aug. 20-22
965RV
Aug. 20-22
965RV
Heinrich
49%
Heinrich
49%

Heinrich

49%

Domenici

37%
37%
Domenici  Heinrich+12
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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