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Who’s ahead in the Pennsylvania Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 3, 2024

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 3-4
1,840LV
Nov. 3-4
1,840LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

47%
47%
McCormick  Casey+3
Nov. 1-4
915LV
Nov. 1-4
915LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

42%

Thomas

1%

Hazou

1%

Selker

0%
42%
McCormickCasey+8

Nov. 2, 2024

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3
450LV
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

46%
46%
McCormick  Casey+2
Nov. 1-3
1,089LV
Nov. 1-3
1,089LV
Casey
46%
Casey
46%

Casey

46%

McCormick

47%
47%
McCormick  McCormick+2
Nov. 1-3
903RV
Nov. 1-3
903RV
Casey
50%
Casey
50%

Casey

50%

McCormick

49%
49%
McCormick  Casey+1

Nov. 1, 2024

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-2
800LV
Nov. 1-2
800LV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

47%
47%
McCormick  Casey+1
Nov. 1-2
2,049LV
Nov. 1-2
2,049LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

47%
47%
McCormick  Casey+2
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
1,000LV
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
1,000LV
Casey
47%
Casey
47%

Casey

47%

McCormick

47%
47%
McCormick  Even
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
1,527LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
1,527LV
Casey
50%
Casey
50%

Casey

50%

McCormick

45%
45%
McCormick  Casey+5
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
1,527RV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
1,527RV
Casey
50%
Casey
50%

Casey

50%

McCormick

45%
45%
McCormick  Casey+5
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
798RV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
798RV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

43%
43%
McCormick  Casey+5
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
699LV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
699LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

44%
44%
McCormick  Casey+5

Oct. 30, 2024

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 30-31
1,738LV
Oct. 30-31
1,738LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

46%
46%
McCormick  Casey+4
Oct. 29-31
800LV
Oct. 29-31
800LV
Casey
46%
Casey
46%

Casey

46%

McCormick

46%
46%
McCormick  Even
Oct. 25-31
947LV
Oct. 25-31
947LV
Casey
50%
Casey
50%

Casey

50%

McCormick

44%
44%
McCormick  Casey+6
Oct. 25-31
982RV
Oct. 25-31
982RV
Casey
50%
Casey
50%

Casey

50%

McCormick

43%
43%
McCormick  Casey+7
Oct. 25-31
908LV
Oct. 25-31
908LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

45%

Thomas

1%

Hazou

1%

Selker

0%
45%
McCormickCasey+4
Oct. 22-31
1,538LV
Oct. 22-31
1,538LV
Casey
46%
Casey
46%

Casey

46%

McCormick

43%
43%
McCormick  Casey+3
Oct. 14-31
400LV
Oct. 14-31
400LV
Casey
51%
Casey
51%

Casey

51%

McCormick

50%
50%
McCormick  Casey+1

Oct. 29, 2024

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 27-30
500LV
Oct. 27-30
500LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

46%

Thomas

1%

Hazou

1%

Selker

0%
46%
McCormickCasey+4
Oct. 27-30
460LV
Oct. 27-30
460LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

46%
46%
McCormick  Casey+3
Oct. 27-30
1,400LV
Oct. 27-30
1,400LV
Casey
50%
Casey
50%

Casey

50%

McCormick

48%
48%
McCormick  Casey+2
Oct. 27-30
1,558RV
Oct. 27-30
1,558RV
Casey
50%
Casey
50%

Casey

50%

McCormick

48%
48%
McCormick  Casey+2
Oct. 27-30
600LV
Oct. 27-30
600LV
Casey
44%
Casey
44%

Casey

44%

McCormick

47%

Hazou

2%

Thomas

1%

Selker

0%
47%
McCormickMcCormick+3
Oct. 26-30
1,204RV
Oct. 26-30
1,204RV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

45%
45%
McCormick  Casey+4
Oct. 26-30
1,204LV
Oct. 26-30
1,204LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

46%
46%
McCormick  Casey+3
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Republican-funded

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