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Who’s ahead in the Pennsylvania Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending July 10, 2024

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

July 9-11
872LV
July 9-11
872LV
Casey
50%
Casey
50%

Casey

50%

McCormick

42%
42%
McCormick  Casey+8
July 9-11
872RV
July 9-11
872RV
Casey
50%
Casey
50%

Casey

50%

McCormick

39%
39%
McCormick  Casey+11

June 30, 2024

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

June 29-July 1
673LV
June 29-July 1
673LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

48%
48%
McCormick  Casey+1

June 27, 2024

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

June 27-28
800LV
June 27-28
800LV
Casey
46%
Casey
46%

Casey

46%

McCormick

42%
42%
McCormick  Casey+4

June 18, 2024

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

June 14-19
800RV
June 14-19
800RV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

36%
36%
McCormick  Casey+12

June 17, 2024

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

June 13-18
1,000RV
June 13-18
1,000RV
Casey
47%
Casey
47%

Casey

47%

McCormick

41%
41%
McCormick  Casey+6
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