Filter by poll type or state

Who’s ahead in the Pennsylvania Senate general election?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 3-4
1,840LV
Nov. 3-4
1,840LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

47%
47%
McCormick  Casey+3
Nov. 1-4
915LV
Nov. 1-4
915LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

42%

Thomas

1%

Hazou

1%

Selker

0%
42%
McCormickCasey+8
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

46%
46%
McCormick  Casey+2
Nov. 1-3
1,089LV
Nov. 1-3
1,089LV
Casey
46%
Casey
46%

Casey

46%

McCormick

47%
47%
McCormick  McCormick+2
Nov. 1-3
903RV
Nov. 1-3
903RV
Casey
50%
Casey
50%

Casey

50%

McCormick

49%
49%
McCormick  Casey+1
Nov. 1-2
800LV
Nov. 1-2
800LV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

47%
47%
McCormick  Casey+1
Nov. 1-2
2,049LV
Nov. 1-2
2,049LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

47%
47%
McCormick  Casey+2
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
1,000LV
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
1,000LV
Casey
47%
Casey
47%

Casey

47%

McCormick

47%
47%
McCormick  Even
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
1,527LV
Oct. 29-Nov. 2
1,527LV
Casey
50%
Casey
50%

Casey

50%

McCormick

45%
45%
McCormick  Casey+5
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
699LV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2
699LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

44%
44%
McCormick  Casey+5
Oct. 30-31
1,738LV
Oct. 30-31
1,738LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

46%
46%
McCormick  Casey+4
Oct. 29-31
800LV
Oct. 29-31
800LV
Casey
46%
Casey
46%

Casey

46%

McCormick

46%
46%
McCormick  Even
Oct. 25-31
947LV
Oct. 25-31
947LV
Casey
50%
Casey
50%

Casey

50%

McCormick

44%
44%
McCormick  Casey+6
Oct. 25-31
908LV
Oct. 25-31
908LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

45%

Thomas

1%

Hazou

1%

Selker

0%
45%
McCormickCasey+4
Oct. 22-31
1,538LV
Oct. 22-31
1,538LV
Casey
46%
Casey
46%

Casey

46%

McCormick

43%
43%
McCormick  Casey+3
Oct. 14-31
400LV
Oct. 14-31
400LV
Casey
51%
Casey
51%

Casey

51%

McCormick

50%
50%
McCormick  Casey+1
Oct. 27-30
500LV
Oct. 27-30
500LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

46%

Thomas

1%

Hazou

1%

Selker

0%
46%
McCormickCasey+4
Oct. 27-30
460LV
Oct. 27-30
460LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

46%
46%
McCormick  Casey+3
Oct. 27-30
1,400LV
Oct. 27-30
1,400LV
Casey
50%
Casey
50%

Casey

50%

McCormick

48%
48%
McCormick  Casey+2
Oct. 27-30
600LV
Oct. 27-30
600LV
Casey
44%
Casey
44%

Casey

44%

McCormick

47%

Hazou

2%

Thomas

1%

Selker

0%
47%
McCormickMcCormick+3
Oct. 26-30
1,204LV
Oct. 26-30
1,204LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

46%
46%
McCormick  Casey+3
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

No matching polls

More on the polls
Read about how we use polls
Our Polls Policy And FAQs
Download the data
Download