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Who’s ahead in the Tennessee Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 1, 2024

U.S. Senate, Tennessee, 2024, General election

July 25-Sept. 2
400LV
July 25-Sept. 2
400LV
Johnson
40%
Johnson
40%

Johnson

40%

Blackburn

60%
60%
Blackburn  Blackburn+20

June 30, 2024

U.S. Senate, Tennessee, 2024, General election

June 20-July 1
942LV
June 20-July 1
942LV
Bradshaw
33%
Bradshaw
33%

Bradshaw

33%

Blackburn

54%
54%
Blackburn  Blackburn+21
June 20-July 1
1,124RV
June 20-July 1
1,124RV
Bradshaw
33%
Bradshaw
33%

Bradshaw

33%

Blackburn

51%
51%
Blackburn  Blackburn+18
June 20-July 1
944LV
June 20-July 1
944LV
Johnson
32%
Johnson
32%

Johnson

32%

Blackburn

52%
52%
Blackburn  Blackburn+20
June 20-July 1
1,124RV
June 20-July 1
1,124RV
Johnson
32%
Johnson
32%

Johnson

32%

Blackburn

49%
49%
Blackburn  Blackburn+17

May 8, 2024

U.S. Senate, Tennessee, 2024, General election

April 26-May 9
1,003RV
April 26-May 9
1,003RV
Johnson
40%
Johnson
40%

Johnson

40%

Blackburn

51%
51%
Blackburn  Blackburn+11

April 1, 2024

U.S. Senate, Tennessee, 2024, Democratic primary

March 15-April 2
319RV
March 15-April 2
319RV
Johnson
35%
Johnson
35%

Johnson

35%

Bradshaw

7%

Miller-Watkins

2%

Fain

2%
7%
BradshawJohnson+28
March 15-April 2
282LV
March 15-April 2
282LV
Johnson
38%
Johnson
38%

Johnson

38%

Bradshaw

7%

Miller-Watkins

2%

Fain

1%
7%
BradshawJohnson+31

U.S. Senate, Tennessee, 2024, General election

March 15-April 2
1,136RV
March 15-April 2
1,136RV
Bradshaw
21%
Bradshaw
21%

Bradshaw

21%

Blackburn

45%
45%
Blackburn  Blackburn+24
March 15-April 2
1,137RV
March 15-April 2
1,137RV
Johnson
27%
Johnson
27%

Johnson

27%

Blackburn

44%
44%
Blackburn  Blackburn+17
March 15-April 2
947LV
March 15-April 2
947LV
Bradshaw
21%
Bradshaw
21%

Bradshaw

21%

Blackburn

45%
45%
Blackburn  Blackburn+24
March 15-April 2
955LV
March 15-April 2
955LV
Johnson
29%
Johnson
29%

Johnson

29%

Blackburn

45%
45%
Blackburn  Blackburn+16

Dec. 27, 2023

U.S. Senate, Tennessee, 2024, Democratic primary

Dec. 14-28
303LV
Dec. 14-28
303LV
Johnson
35%
Johnson
35%

Johnson

35%

Bradshaw

10%

Miller-Watkins

2%
10%
BradshawJohnson+25
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