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Who’s ahead in the Texas Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-4
2,434LV
Nov. 1-4
2,434LV
Allred
46%
Allred
46%

Allred

46%

Cruz

53%
53%
Cruz  Cruz+7
Oct. 22-31
2,120LV
Oct. 22-31
2,120LV
Allred
44%
Allred
44%

Allred

44%

Cruz

47%
47%
Cruz  Cruz+3
Oct. 26-28
600LV
Oct. 26-28
600LV
Allred
45%
Allred
45%

Allred

45%

Cruz

49%

Brown

3%
49%
CruzCruz+4
Oct. 21-27
400LV
Oct. 21-27
400LV
Allred
48%
Allred
48%

Allred

48%

Cruz

52%
52%
Cruz  Cruz+5
Oct. 23-26
1,180LV
Oct. 23-26
1,180LV
Allred
46%
Allred
46%

Allred

46%

Cruz

50%
50%
Cruz  Cruz+4
Oct. 23-26
1,180RV
Oct. 23-26
1,180RV
Allred
46%
Allred
46%

Allred

46%

Cruz

49%
49%
Cruz  Cruz+3
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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