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Who’s ahead in the Texas Senate Democratic primary?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, Democratic primary

Feb. 18-26
441LV
Feb. 18-26
441LV
Allred
37%
Allred
37%

Allred

37%

Gutierrez

22%

Sherman

6%
22%
GutierrezAllred+15
Feb. 2-12
354RV
Feb. 2-12
354RV
Allred
52%
Allred
52%

Allred

52%

Gutierrez

14%

Gonzalez

5%

Gomez

3%

Keough

3%

Sherman

2%

Prillman

1%

Tchenko

1%

Arguijo

0%

Hassan

0%
14%
GutierrezAllred+38
Jan. 11-24
372LV
Jan. 11-24
372LV
Allred
40%
Allred
40%

Allred

40%

Gutierrez

12%

Gomez

4%

Gonzalez

2%

Sherman

1%

Hassan

1%

Keough

1%

Prillman

1%

Tchenko

0%
12%
GutierrezAllred+28
Jan. 13-15
460LV
Jan. 13-15
460LV
Allred
29%
Allred
29%

Allred

29%

Gutierrez

7%

Gonzalez

6%

Gomez

4%

Prillman

2%

Sherman

2%

Keough

2%

Tchenko

2%

Hassan

1%
7%
GutierrezAllred+22
Oct. 5-17
409LV
Oct. 5-17
409LV
Allred
21%
Allred
21%

Allred

21%

Gutierrez

10%

Taylor

3%

Gomez

2%

Keough

2%

Andrus

2%

Tchenko

2%

Gonzalez

2%

Sherman

2%

Naranjo

2%

Arguijo

1%

Love

1%

Prillman

1%

Dunn

0%
10%
GutierrezAllred+11
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Candidate is an incumbent

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