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Who’s ahead in the Virginia Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Virginia, 2024, General election

July 14-15
265LV
July 14-15
265LV
Kaine
44%
Kaine
44%

Kaine

44%

Cao

34%
34%
Cao  Kaine+10
July 14-15
301RV
July 14-15
301RV
Kaine
42%
Kaine
42%

Kaine

42%

Cao

33%
33%
Cao  Kaine+9
July 14-15
1,000RV
July 14-15
1,000RV
Kaine
49%
Kaine
49%

Kaine

49%

Cao

39%
39%
Cao  Kaine+10
July 12-13
544LV
July 12-13
544LV
Kaine
47%
Kaine
47%

Kaine

47%

Cao

34%
34%
Cao  Kaine+13
July 12-13
617RV
July 12-13
617RV
Kaine
45%
Kaine
45%

Kaine

45%

Cao

32%
32%
Cao  Kaine+13
July 9-12
661LV
July 9-12
661LV
Kaine
53%
Kaine
53%

Kaine

53%

Cao

36%
36%
Cao  Kaine+17
July 9-12
661RV
July 9-12
661RV
Kaine
52%
Kaine
52%

Kaine

52%

Cao

34%
34%
Cao  Kaine+18
June 24-July 3
755RV
June 24-July 3
755RV
Kaine
49%
Kaine
49%

Kaine

49%

Cao

39%
39%
Cao  Kaine+10
June 24-July 3
809A
June 24-July 3
809A
Kaine
49%
Kaine
49%

Kaine

49%

Cao

38%
38%
Cao  Kaine+11
April 26-28
500RV
April 26-28
500RV
Kaine
48%
Kaine
48%

Kaine

48%

Cao

36%
36%
Cao  Kaine+12
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Republican-funded

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