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Who’s ahead in the Virginia Senate general election?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Virginia, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 28-Oct. 4
800LV
Sept. 28-Oct. 4
800LV
Kaine
55%
Kaine
55%

Kaine

55%

Cao

35%
35%
Cao  Kaine+20
Sept. 22-24
860LV
Sept. 22-24
860LV
Kaine
51%
Kaine
51%

Kaine

51%

Cao

41%
41%
Cao  Kaine+10
Sept. 3-9
756LV
Sept. 3-9
756LV
Kaine
49%
Kaine
49%

Kaine

49%

Cao

43%
43%
Cao  Kaine+6
Sept. 4-8
1,005LV
Sept. 4-8
1,005LV
Kaine
53%
Kaine
53%

Kaine

53%

Cao

41%
41%
Cao  Kaine+12
July 24-Sept. 1
400LV
July 24-Sept. 1
400LV
Kaine
55%
Kaine
55%

Kaine

55%

Cao

45%
45%
Cao  Kaine+11
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

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