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Who’s ahead in the Washington Senate general election?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Washington, 2024, General election

Nov. 2-3
450LV
Nov. 2-3
450LV
Cantwell
58%
Cantwell
58%

Cantwell

58%

Garcia

38%
38%
Garcia  Cantwell+20
Oct. 16-17
571LV
Oct. 16-17
571LV
Cantwell
53%
Cantwell
53%

Cantwell

53%

Garcia

38%
38%
Garcia  Cantwell+15
Oct. 9-14
703LV
Oct. 9-14
703LV
Cantwell
55%
Cantwell
55%

Cantwell

55%

Garcia

32%
32%
Garcia  Cantwell+23
Sept. 3-6
403RV
Sept. 3-6
403RV
Cantwell
55%
Cantwell
55%

Cantwell

55%

Garcia

33%
33%
Garcia  Cantwell+22
May 13-16
403RV
May 13-16
403RV
Cantwell
39%
Cantwell
39%

Cantwell

39%

Garcia

30%
30%
Garcia  Cantwell+9
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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