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Who’s ahead in the West Virginia Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending March 20, 2024

U.S. Senate, West Virginia, 2024, Republican primary
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

March 19-21
735LV
March 19-21
735LV
Justice
54%
Justice
54%

Justice

54%

Mooney

17%
17%
Mooney  Justice+37

Nov. 13, 2023

U.S. Senate, West Virginia, 2024, Republican primary
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 13-14
414LV
Nov. 13-14
414LV
Justice
56%
Justice
56%

Justice

56%

Mooney

20%

McKinney

2%

Lawhorn

1%
20%
MooneyJustice+36

Oct. 31, 2023

U.S. Senate, West Virginia, 2024, Republican primary
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1
428LV
Nov. 1
428LV
Justice
61%
Justice
61%

Justice

61%

Mooney

28%
28%
Mooney  Justice+33

Oct. 3, 2023

U.S. Senate, West Virginia, 2024, General election

Oct. 1-4
539RV
Oct. 1-4
539RV
Manchin
37%
Manchin
37%

Manchin

37%

Mooney

31%
31%
Mooney  Manchin+6
Oct. 1-4
539RV
Oct. 1-4
539RV
Manchin
28%
Manchin
28%

Manchin

28%

Justice

41%
41%
Justice  Justice+12

Sept. 25, 2023

U.S. Senate, West Virginia, 2024, General election

Sept. 24-26
500LV
Sept. 24-26
500LV
Manchin
43%
Manchin
43%

Manchin

43%

Justice

49%
49%
Justice  Justice+6
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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