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Who’s ahead in the West Virginia Senate general election?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, West Virginia, 2024, General election

Aug. 21-27
400RV
Aug. 21-27
400RV
Elliott
28%
Elliott
28%

Elliott

28%

Justice

62%
62%
Justice  Justice+34
June 4
464LV
June 4
464LV
Elliott
27%
Elliott
27%

Elliott

27%

Justice

60%
60%
Justice  Justice+33
Oct. 1-4
539RV
Oct. 1-4
539RV
Manchin
37%
Manchin
37%

Manchin

37%

Mooney

31%
31%
Mooney  Manchin+6
Oct. 1-4
539RV
Oct. 1-4
539RV
Manchin
28%
Manchin
28%

Manchin

28%

Justice

41%
41%
Justice  Justice+12
Sept. 24-26
500LV
Sept. 24-26
500LV
Manchin
43%
Manchin
43%

Manchin

43%

Justice

49%
49%
Justice  Justice+6
Aug. 16-26
402RV
Aug. 16-26
402RV
Manchin
45%
Manchin
45%

Manchin

45%

Mooney

41%
41%
Mooney  Manchin+4
Aug. 16-26
402RV
Aug. 16-26
402RV
Manchin
38%
Manchin
38%

Manchin

38%

Justice

51%
51%
Justice  Justice+13
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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