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Who’s ahead in the Wisconsin Senate general election?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 16-19
600LV
Sept. 16-19
600LV
Baldwin
46%
Baldwin
46%

Baldwin

46%

Hovde

41%

Leager

1%

Anderson

1%
41%
HovdeBaldwin+5
Sept. 15-18
1,000LV
Sept. 15-18
1,000LV
Baldwin
49%
Baldwin
49%

Baldwin

49%

Hovde

46%
46%
Hovde  Baldwin+3
Sept. 12-18
800LV
Sept. 12-18
800LV
Baldwin
52%
Baldwin
52%

Baldwin

52%

Hovde

44%
44%
Hovde  Baldwin+8
Sept. 9-18
600LV
Sept. 9-18
600LV
Baldwin
50%
Baldwin
50%

Baldwin

50%

Hovde

43%
43%
Hovde  Baldwin+7
Sept. 12-17
1,194LV
Sept. 12-17
1,194LV
Baldwin
51%
Baldwin
51%

Baldwin

51%

Hovde

48%
48%
Hovde  Baldwin+3
Sept. 12-17
1,312RV
Sept. 12-17
1,312RV
Baldwin
52%
Baldwin
52%

Baldwin

52%

Hovde

46%
46%
Hovde  Baldwin+6
Sept. 12-16
1,075LV
Sept. 12-16
1,075LV
Baldwin
51%
Baldwin
51%

Baldwin

51%

Hovde

47%
47%
Hovde  Baldwin+4
Sept. 11-14
600LV
Sept. 11-14
600LV
Baldwin
50%
Baldwin
50%

Baldwin

50%

Hovde

47%
47%
Hovde  Baldwin+3
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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