UPDATED Sep. 29, 2022, at 1:20 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Alabama Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Alabama, 2020

294LV
Oct.27-Nov.1
294LV
Jones
42%
Jones
42%

Jones

42%

Tuberville

58%
58%
Tuberville  Tuberville+15
1,045LV
Oct.27-Nov.1
1,045LV
Jones
44%
Jones
44%

Jones

44%

Tuberville

56%
56%
Tuberville  Tuberville+12
850LV
Oct.22-31
850LV
Jones
39%
Jones
39%

Jones

39%

Tuberville

51%
51%
Tuberville  Tuberville+12
853LV
Oct.23-28
853LV
Jones
43%
Jones
43%

Jones

43%

Tuberville

54%
54%
Tuberville  Tuberville+11
232LV
Oct.23-26
232LV
Jones
46%
Jones
46%

Jones

46%

Tuberville

54%
54%
Tuberville  Tuberville+9
645LV
Oct.21-23
645LV
Jones
41%
Jones
41%

Jones

41%

Tuberville

55%
55%
Tuberville  Tuberville+14
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Candidate is an incumbent

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