UPDATED Aug. 2, 2021, at 3:03 PM

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Who’s ahead in Alaska?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
AlaskaAlaska
Jul 11-21, 2021
947 RV
Jul 11-21, 2021
947RVMurkowski
55%

Murkowski

55%

Tshibaka

45%
45%
TshibakaMurkowski+10
U.S. Senate
AlaskaAlaska
Jul 11-21, 2021
947 RV
Jul 11-21, 2021
947RVMurkowski
36%

Murkowski

36%

Tshibaka

27%

Gray-Jackson

19%

Miller

18%
MoreMurkowski+9

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

June 7, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
AlaskaAlaska
May 22-25, 2021
1,023 LV
May 22-25, 2021
1,023LVGross
46%

Gross

46%

Tshibaka

54%
54%
TshibakaTshibaka+8
U.S. Senate
AlaskaAlaska
May 22-25, 2021
1,023 LV
May 22-25, 2021
1,023LVGross
25%

Gross

25%

Tshibaka

39%

Murkowski

19%

Howe

4%
MoreTshibaka+14

Oct. 28, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
AlaskaAlaska
Oct 26-28, 2020
770 LV
Oct 26-28, 2020
770LVGross
45%

Gross

45%

Sullivan

48%
48%
SullivanSullivan+3

Oct. 21, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
AlaskaAlaska
Oct 16-19, 2020
1,076 LV
Oct 16-19, 2020
1,076LVGross
44%

Gross

44%

Sullivan

47%

Howe

3%
MoreSullivan+3

Oct. 20, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
AlaskaAlaska
Oct 19-20, 2020
800 V
Oct 19-20, 2020
800VGross
41%

Gross

41%

Sullivan

44%

Howe

5%
MoreSullivan+3
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