Filter by poll type or state

Who’s ahead in the Alaska senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending April 20, 2022

U.S. Senate, Alaska, 2022

1,208LV
Apr.16-21
1,208LV
Murkowski
55%
Murkowski
55%

Murkowski

55%

Tshibaka

45%
45%
Tshibaka  Murkowski+10

March 15, 2022

U.S. Senate, Alaska, 2022

500LV
Mar.14-16
500LV
Tshibaka
51%
Tshibaka
51%

Tshibaka

51%

Murkowski

49%
49%
Murkowski  Tshibaka+2

Oct. 26, 2021

U.S. Senate, Alaska, 2022

969RV
Oct.22-27
969RV
Murkowski
60%
Murkowski
60%

Murkowski

60%

Tshibaka

40%
40%
Tshibaka  Murkowski+20
969RV
Oct.22-27
969RV
Murkowski
35%
Murkowski
35%

Murkowski

35%

Tshibaka

23%

Gray-Jackson

22%

Palin

20%
23%
TshibakaMurkowski+12

July 20, 2021

U.S. Senate, Alaska, 2022

947RV
Jul.11-21
947RV
Murkowski
55%
Murkowski
55%

Murkowski

55%

Tshibaka

45%
45%
Tshibaka  Murkowski+10
947RV
Jul.11-21
947RV
Murkowski
36%
Murkowski
36%

Murkowski

36%

Tshibaka

27%

Gray-Jackson

19%

Miller

18%
27%
TshibakaMurkowski+9

May 24, 2021

U.S. Senate, Alaska, 2022

1,023LV
May 22-25
1,023LV
Gross
46%
Gross
46%

Gross

46%

Tshibaka

54%
54%
Tshibaka  Tshibaka+8
1,023LV
May 22-25
1,023LV
Gross
25%
Gross
25%

Gross

25%

Tshibaka

39%

Murkowski

19%

Howe

4%
39%
TshibakaTshibaka+14
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

No matching polls

More on the polls
Read about how we use polls
Our Polls Policy And FAQs
Download the data
Download