UPDATED Apr. 16, 2021, at 3:54 PM

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Who’s ahead in Alaska?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 29, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
AlaskaAlaska
Oct 26-28, 2020
770 LV
Oct 26-28, 2020
770LVGross
45%

Gross

45%

Sullivan

48%
48%
SullivanSullivan+3

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 22, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
AlaskaAlaska
Oct 16-19, 2020
1,076 LV
Oct 16-19, 2020
1,076LVGross
44%

Gross

44%

Sullivan

47%

Howe

3%
MoreSullivan+3

Oct. 21, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
AlaskaAlaska
Oct 19-20, 2020
800 V
Oct 19-20, 2020
800VGross
41%

Gross

41%

Sullivan

44%

Howe

5%
MoreSullivan+3

Oct. 18, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
AlaskaAlaska
Sep 30-Oct 4, 2020
600 LV
Sep 30-Oct 4, 2020
600LVGross
47%

Gross

47%

Sullivan

46%
46%
SullivanGross+1

Oct. 16, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
AlaskaAlaska
Oct 9-14, 2020
423 LV
Oct 9-14, 2020
423LVGross
37%

Gross

37%

Sullivan

45%

Howe

10%
MoreSullivan+8
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