UPDATED May 27, 2020, at 12:04 AM

Latest Polls

Updated throughout the day.

Who’s ahead in Arizona?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Average as of 1590552256000

Active Candidates
    Dropouts

      This state does not have enough data to show polling averages. Averages will not be displayed unless a state has at least five total polls or polls from at least three pollsters.

      Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

      Added May 19, 2020

      DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
      U.S. Senate
      U.S. Senate
      Ariz.Ariz.
      May 9-11, 2020
      600 LV
      May 9-11, 2020
      600LVKelly
      51%

      Kelly

      51%

      McSally

      38%
      38%
      McSallyKelly+13

      Key

      A = ADULTS

      RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

      V = VOTERS

      LV = LIKELY VOTERS

      April 15, 2020

      U.S. Senate
      U.S. Senate
      Ariz.Ariz.
      Apr 7-8, 2020
      600 LV
      Apr 7-8, 2020
      600LVKelly
      51%

      Kelly

      51%

      McSally

      42%
      42%
      McSallyKelly+9

      March 16, 2020

      U.S. Senate
      U.S. Senate
      Ariz.Ariz.
      Mar 10-15, 2020
      2,523 RV
      Mar 10-15, 2020
      2,523RVKelly
      48%

      Kelly

      48%

      McSally

      45%
      45%
      McSallyKelly+3
      U.S. Senate
      Ariz.Ariz.
      Mar 11-14, 2020
      847 RV
      Mar 11-14, 2020
      847RVKelly
      50%

      Kelly

      50%

      McSally

      44%
      44%
      McSallyKelly+6

      March 13, 2020

      U.S. Senate
      U.S. Senate
      Ariz.Ariz.
      Mar 6-11, 2020
      1,036 RV
      Mar 6-11, 2020
      1,036RVKelly
      48%

      Kelly

      48%

      McSally

      36%
      36%
      McSallyKelly+12

      March 11, 2020

      U.S. Senate
      U.S. Senate
      Ariz.Ariz.
      Mar 3-4, 2020
      600 LV
      Mar 3-4, 2020
      600LVKelly
      49%

      Kelly

      49%

      McSally

      42%
      42%
      McSallyKelly+7
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