We are no longer adding polls or updating averages for Nov. 3, 2020, races. Visit our unresolved races live blog to follow along as the remaining results come in!

UPDATED Dec. 2, 2020, at 8:46 PM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in Arkansas?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 28, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ark.Ark.
Oct 9-21, 2020
591 LV
Oct 9-21, 2020
591LVHarrington
20%

Harrington

20%

Cotton

75%
75%
CottonCotton+55

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 19, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ark.Ark.
Oct 11-13, 2020
647 LV
Oct 11-13, 2020
647LVHarrington
28%

Harrington

28%

Cotton

63%
63%
CottonCotton+35

Oct. 11, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ark.Ark.
Oct 7-9, 2020
600 LV
Oct 7-9, 2020
600LVHarrington
38%

Harrington

38%

Cotton

49%
49%
CottonCotton+11

No matching polls

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