See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Jul. 12, 2020, at 2:08 PM

Latest Polls

Updated throughout the day.

Who’s ahead in California?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 5, 2018

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Calif.Calif.
Nov 2-4, 2018
1,108 LV
Nov 2-4, 2018
1,108LVFeinstein
42%

Feinstein

42%

de Leon

32%
32%
de LeonFeinstein+10
U.S. Senate
Calif.Calif.
Nov 1-2, 2018
806 LV
Nov 1-2, 2018
806LVFeinstein
50%

Feinstein

50%

de Leon

36%
36%
de LeonFeinstein+14

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 4, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Calif.Calif.
Nov 1-3, 2018
450 RV
Nov 1-3, 2018
450RVFeinstein
47%

Feinstein

47%

de Leon

28%
28%
de LeonFeinstein+19
U.S. Senate
Calif.Calif.
Oct 25-30, 2018
900 LV
Oct 25-30, 2018
900LVFeinstein
41%

Feinstein

41%

de Leon

35%
35%
de LeonFeinstein+6

Nov. 2, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Calif.Calif.
Oct 10-24, 2018
2,178 RV
Oct 10-24, 2018
2,178RVFeinstein
36%

Feinstein

36%

de Leon

29%
29%
de LeonFeinstein+7

Oct. 31, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Calif.Calif.
Oct 19-25, 2018
1,339 LV
Oct 19-25, 2018
1,339LVFeinstein
45%

Feinstein

45%

de Leon

36%
36%
de LeonFeinstein+9

Oct. 25, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Calif.Calif.
Oct 12-21, 2018
989 LV
Oct 12-21, 2018
989LVFeinstein
43%

Feinstein

43%

de Leon

27%
27%
de LeonFeinstein+16
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