UPDATED Sep. 28, 2022, at 6:32 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Connecticut Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 20, 2022

U.S. Senate, Connecticut, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

626LV
Sep.15-21
626LV
Blumenthal
53%
Blumenthal
53%

Blumenthal

53%

Levy

40%
40%
Levy  Blumenthal+13
766RV
Sep.15-21
766RV
Blumenthal
51%
Blumenthal
51%

Blumenthal

51%

Levy

37%
37%
Levy  Blumenthal+14

Sept. 18, 2022

U.S. Senate, Connecticut, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,911LV
Sep.15-19
1,911LV
Blumenthal
57%
Blumenthal
57%

Blumenthal

57%

Levy

40%
40%
Levy  Blumenthal+17

Sept. 8, 2022

U.S. Senate, Connecticut, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,000LV
Sep.7-9
1,000LV
Blumenthal
49%
Blumenthal
49%

Blumenthal

49%

Levy

36%
36%
Levy  Blumenthal+13

July 26, 2022

U.S. Senate, Connecticut, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

500LV
Jul.26-27
500LV
Blumenthal
45%
Blumenthal
45%

Blumenthal

45%

Levy

33%
33%
Levy  Blumenthal+12
500LV
Jul.26-27
500LV
Blumenthal
45%
Blumenthal
45%

Blumenthal

45%

Klarides

34%
34%
Klarides  Blumenthal+11

May 10, 2022

U.S. Senate, Connecticut, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,000RV
May 10-11
1,000RV
Blumenthal
51%
Blumenthal
51%

Blumenthal

51%

Lumaj

35%
35%
Lumaj  Blumenthal+16
1,000RV
May 10-11
1,000RV
Blumenthal
52%
Blumenthal
52%

Blumenthal

52%

Levy

36%
36%
Levy  Blumenthal+16
1,000RV
May 10-11
1,000RV
Blumenthal
50%
Blumenthal
50%

Blumenthal

50%

Klarides

40%
40%
Klarides  Blumenthal+11
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Republican-funded

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