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Who’s ahead in the Connecticut Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 25, 2022

U.S. Senate, Connecticut, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,004A
Oct.24-26
1,004A
Blumenthal
51%
Blumenthal
51%

Blumenthal

51%

Levy

26%
26%
Levy  Blumenthal+25

Oct. 22, 2022

U.S. Senate, Connecticut, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,879LV
Oct.19-23
1,879LV
Blumenthal
56%
Blumenthal
56%

Blumenthal

56%

Levy

41%
41%
Levy  Blumenthal+15

Oct. 20, 2022

U.S. Senate, Connecticut, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,000LV
Oct.19-21
1,000LV
Blumenthal
54%
Blumenthal
54%

Blumenthal

54%

Levy

42%
42%
Levy  Blumenthal+12

Oct. 12, 2022

U.S. Senate, Connecticut, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,200LV
Oct.10-13
1,200LV
Blumenthal
49%
Blumenthal
49%

Blumenthal

49%

Levy

44%
44%
Levy  Blumenthal+5

Sept. 20, 2022

U.S. Senate, Connecticut, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

626LV
Sep.15-21
626LV
Blumenthal
53%
Blumenthal
53%

Blumenthal

53%

Levy

40%
40%
Levy  Blumenthal+13
766RV
Sep.15-21
766RV
Blumenthal
51%
Blumenthal
51%

Blumenthal

51%

Levy

37%
37%
Levy  Blumenthal+14
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Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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