UPDATED Sep. 26, 2022, at 8:45 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Georgia Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 19, 2022

U.S. Senate, Georgia, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,006LV
Sep.16-20
1,006LV
Warnock
46%
Warnock
46%

Warnock

46%

Walker

46%

Oliver

4%
46%
WalkerEven

Sept. 18, 2022

U.S. Senate, Georgia, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,178LV
Sep.14-19
1,178LV
Warnock
51%
Warnock
51%

Warnock

51%

Walker

49%
49%
Walker  Warnock+2

Sept. 15, 2022

U.S. Senate, Georgia, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

861LV
Sep.5-16
861LV
Warnock
44%
Warnock
44%

Warnock

44%

Walker

46%

Oliver

3%
46%
WalkerWalker+2

Sept. 14, 2022

U.S. Senate, Georgia, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,202RV
Sep.12-15
1,202RV
Warnock
47%
Warnock
47%

Warnock

47%

Walker

42%

Oliver

4%
42%
WalkerWarnock+5

Sept. 11, 2022

U.S. Senate, Georgia, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

949RV
Sep.9-12
949RV
Warnock
50%
Warnock
50%

Warnock

50%

Walker

37%
37%
Walker  Warnock+13
542LV
Sep.9-12
542LV
Warnock
49%
Warnock
49%

Warnock

49%

Walker

45%
45%
Walker  Warnock+4
1,278LV
Sep.8-12
1,278LV
Warnock
52%
Warnock
52%

Warnock

52%

Walker

46%
46%
Walker  Warnock+6
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

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