UPDATED May 4, 2021, at 9:39 AM

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Who’s ahead in Indiana?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 5, 2018

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ind.Ind.
Nov 3-5, 2018
600 LV
Nov 3-5, 2018
600LVDonnelly
42%

Donnelly

42%

Braun

43%
43%
BraunBraun+1

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 2, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ind.Ind.
Oct 31-Nov 2, 2018
600 LV
Oct 31-Nov 2, 2018
600LVDonnelly
44%

Donnelly

44%

Braun

42%
42%
BraunDonnelly+2
U.S. Senate
Ind.Ind.
Oct 24-30, 2018
1,400 LV
Oct 24-30, 2018
1,400LVDonnelly
42%

Donnelly

42%

Braun

42%
42%
BraunBraun+1

Oct. 30, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ind.Ind.
Oct 27-30, 2018
852 RV
Oct 27-30, 2018
852RVDonnelly
42%

Donnelly

42%

Braun

38%

Brenton

6%
MoreDonnelly+4
U.S. Senate
Ind.Ind.
Oct 27-30, 2018
722 LV
Oct 27-30, 2018
722LVDonnelly
45%

Donnelly

45%

Braun

38%

Brenton

5%
MoreDonnelly+7
U.S. Senate
Ind.Ind.
Oct 24-28, 2018
800 RV
Oct 24-28, 2018
800RVDonnelly
47%

Donnelly

47%

Braun

45%
45%
BraunDonnelly+2
U.S. Senate
Ind.Ind.
Oct 24-28, 2018
496 LV
Oct 24-28, 2018
496LVDonnelly
45%

Donnelly

45%

Braun

42%

Brenton

7%
MoreDonnelly+3
U.S. Senate
Ind.Ind.
Oct 24-28, 2018
496 LV
Oct 24-28, 2018
496LVDonnelly
48%

Donnelly

48%

Braun

46%
46%
BraunDonnelly+2
U.S. Senate
Ind.Ind.
Oct 24-28, 2018
800 RV
Oct 24-28, 2018
800RVDonnelly
43%

Donnelly

43%

Braun

40%

Brenton

9%
MoreDonnelly+3

Oct. 29, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ind.Ind.
Oct 26-27, 2018
505 LV
Oct 26-27, 2018
505LVDonnelly
46%

Donnelly

46%

Braun

49%
49%
BraunBraun+3

Oct. 27, 2018

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ind.Ind.
Oct 23-26, 2018
975 LV
Oct 23-26, 2018
975LVDonnelly
43%

Donnelly

43%

Braun

46%

Brenton

3%
MoreBraun+3
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