UPDATED Oct. 6, 2022, at 4:13 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Indiana Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 25, 2022

U.S. Senate, Indiana, 2022

600LV
Sep.25-26
600LV
McDermott
37%
McDermott
37%

McDermott

37%

Young

39%

Sceniak

6%
39%
YoungYoung+2

Aug. 23, 2022

U.S. Senate, Indiana, 2022

2,111LV
Aug.20-24
2,111LV
McDermott
42%
McDermott
42%

McDermott

42%

Young

45%
45%
Young  Young+3

Nov. 4, 2018

U.S. Senate, Indiana, 2018

600LV
Nov.3-5
600LV
Donnelly
42%
Donnelly
42%

Donnelly

42%

Braun

43%
43%
Braun  Braun+1

Nov. 1, 2018

U.S. Senate, Indiana, 2018

600LV
Oct.31-Nov.2
600LV
Donnelly
44%
Donnelly
44%

Donnelly

44%

Braun

42%
42%
Braun  Donnelly+2

Oct. 29, 2018

U.S. Senate, Indiana, 2018

852RV
Oct.27-30
852RV
Donnelly
42%
Donnelly
42%

Donnelly

42%

Braun

38%

Brenton

6%
38%
BraunDonnelly+4
722LV
Oct.27-30
722LV
Donnelly
45%
Donnelly
45%

Donnelly

45%

Braun

38%

Brenton

5%
38%
BraunDonnelly+7
1,400LV
Oct.24-30
1,400LV
Donnelly
42%
Donnelly
42%

Donnelly

42%

Braun

42%
42%
Braun  Braun+1
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Candidate is an incumbent

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