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Who’s ahead in the Indiana Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Indiana, 2018

600LV
Nov.3-5
600LV
Donnelly
42%
Donnelly
42%

Donnelly

42%

Braun

43%
43%
Braun  Braun+1
600LV
Oct.31-Nov.2
600LV
Donnelly
44%
Donnelly
44%

Donnelly

44%

Braun

42%
42%
Braun  Donnelly+2
852RV
Oct.27-30
852RV
Donnelly
42%
Donnelly
42%

Donnelly

42%

Braun

38%

Brenton

6%
38%
BraunDonnelly+4
722LV
Oct.27-30
722LV
Donnelly
45%
Donnelly
45%

Donnelly

45%

Braun

38%

Brenton

5%
38%
BraunDonnelly+7
1,400LV
Oct.24-30
1,400LV
Donnelly
42%
Donnelly
42%

Donnelly

42%

Braun

42%
42%
Braun  Braun+1
800RV
Oct.24-28
800RV
Donnelly
47%
Donnelly
47%

Donnelly

47%

Braun

45%
45%
Braun  Donnelly+2
496LV
Oct.24-28
496LV
Donnelly
45%
Donnelly
45%

Donnelly

45%

Braun

42%

Brenton

7%
42%
BraunDonnelly+3
496LV
Oct.24-28
496LV
Donnelly
48%
Donnelly
48%

Donnelly

48%

Braun

46%
46%
Braun  Donnelly+2
800RV
Oct.24-28
800RV
Donnelly
43%
Donnelly
43%

Donnelly

43%

Braun

40%

Brenton

9%
40%
BraunDonnelly+3
505LV
Oct.26-27
505LV
Donnelly
46%
Donnelly
46%

Donnelly

46%

Braun

49%
49%
Braun  Braun+3
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Candidate is an incumbent

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