UPDATED Sep. 29, 2022, at 1:20 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Kansas Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 17, 2022

U.S. Senate, Kansas, 2022

1,000LV
Sep.15-18
1,000LV
Holland
33%
Holland
33%

Holland

33%

Moran

45%
45%
Moran  Moran+12

Sept. 6, 2022

U.S. Senate, Kansas, 2022

392LV
Aug.31-Sep.7
392LV
Holland
35%
Holland
35%

Holland

35%

Moran

54%
54%
Moran  Moran+19

Aug. 9, 2022

U.S. Senate, Kansas, 2022

1,074LV
Aug.8-10
1,074LV
Holland
37%
Holland
37%

Holland

37%

Moran

58%
58%
Moran  Moran+21

Oct. 31, 2020

U.S. Senate, Kansas, 2020

1,121LV
Oct.27-Nov.1
1,121LV
Bollier
45%
Bollier
45%

Bollier

45%

Marshall

51%

Buckley

4%
51%
MarshallMarshall+6

Oct. 26, 2020

U.S. Senate, Kansas, 2020

1,149LV
Oct.25-27
1,149LV
Bollier
43%
Bollier
43%

Bollier

43%

Marshall

47%

Buckley

2%
47%
MarshallMarshall+4
600LV
Oct.25-27
600LV
Bollier
46%
Bollier
46%

Bollier

46%

Marshall

45%

Buckley

4%
45%
MarshallBollier+1
600LV
Oct.25-27
600LV
Bollier
47%
Bollier
47%

Bollier

47%

Marshall

47%
47%
Marshall  Even
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