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Who’s ahead in the Kansas senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Kansas, 2020

1,121LV
Oct.27-Nov.1
1,121LV
Bollier
45%
Bollier
45%

Bollier

45%

Marshall

51%

Buckley

4%
51%
MarshallMarshall+6
1,149LV
Oct.25-27
1,149LV
Bollier
43%
Bollier
43%

Bollier

43%

Marshall

47%

Buckley

2%
47%
MarshallMarshall+4
600LV
Oct.25-27
600LV
Bollier
46%
Bollier
46%

Bollier

46%

Marshall

45%

Buckley

4%
45%
MarshallBollier+1
600LV
Oct.25-27
600LV
Bollier
47%
Bollier
47%

Bollier

47%

Marshall

47%
47%
Marshall  Even
897V
Oct.19-20
897V
Bollier
43%
Bollier
43%

Bollier

43%

Marshall

43%

Buckley

5%
43%
MarshallEven
2,453LV
Oct.18-20
2,453LV
Bollier
39%
Bollier
39%

Bollier

39%

Marshall

51%

Buckley

2%
51%
MarshallMarshall+12
755LV
Oct.18-20
755LV
Bollier
42%
Bollier
42%

Bollier

42%

Marshall

46%

Buckley

4%
46%
MarshallMarshall+4
3,104LV
Sep.29-30
3,104LV
Bollier
45%
Bollier
45%

Bollier

45%

Marshall

42%

Buckley

2%
42%
MarshallBollier+4
677LV
Sep.26-29
677LV
Bollier
43%
Bollier
43%

Bollier

43%

Marshall

50%
50%
Marshall  Marshall+7
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Candidate is an incumbent

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