UPDATED Sep. 29, 2022, at 1:20 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Maine Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 1, 2020

U.S. Senate, Maine, 2020

1,024LV
Oct.29-Nov.2
1,024LV
Gideon
54%
Gideon
54%

Gideon

54%

Collins

46%
46%
Collins  Gideon+8
1,024LV
Oct.29-Nov.2
1,024LV
Gideon
46%
Gideon
46%

Gideon

46%

Collins

42%

Savage

7%

Linn

2%
42%
CollinsGideon+4

Oct. 30, 2020

U.S. Senate, Maine, 2020

611LV
Oct.29-31
611LV
Gideon
48%
Gideon
48%

Gideon

48%

Collins

46%

Savage

5%

Linn

1%
46%
CollinsGideon+2

Oct. 26, 2020

U.S. Senate, Maine, 2020

1,007LV
Oct.23-27
1,007LV
Gideon
51%
Gideon
51%

Gideon

51%

Collins

49%
49%
Collins  Gideon+2
1,007LV
Oct.23-27
1,007LV
Gideon
46%
Gideon
46%

Gideon

46%

Collins

45%

Savage

4%

Linn

1%
45%
CollinsGideon+1

Oct. 24, 2020

U.S. Senate, Maine, 2020

879LV
Oct.21-25
879LV
Gideon
47%
Gideon
47%

Gideon

47%

Collins

43%

Savage

5%

Linn

2%
43%
CollinsGideon+3

Oct. 5, 2020

U.S. Senate, Maine, 2020

600LV
Oct.2-6
600LV
Gideon
47%
Gideon
47%

Gideon

47%

Collins

40%

Savage

5%

Linn

2%
40%
CollinsGideon+7
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Candidate is an incumbent

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