UPDATED Oct. 6, 2022, at 4:13 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Michigan Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 31, 2020

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2020

450LV
Oct.31-Nov.1
450LV
Peters
52%
Peters
52%

Peters

52%

James

37%
37%
James  Peters+15
383LV
Oct.29-Nov.1
383LV
Peters
51%
Peters
51%

Peters

51%

James

46%
46%
James  Peters+5
393LV
Oct.27-Nov.1
393LV
Peters
54%
Peters
54%

Peters

54%

James

46%
46%
James  Peters+7
654LV
Oct.27-Nov.1
654LV
Peters
51%
Peters
51%

Peters

51%

James

44%
44%
James  Peters+7

Oct. 30, 2020

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2020

700LV
Oct.29-31
700LV
Peters
52%
Peters
52%

Peters

52%

James

46%
46%
James  Peters+6
1,736LV
Oct.22-31
1,736LV
Peters
49%
Peters
49%

Peters

49%

James

43%
43%
James  Peters+6

Oct. 29, 2020

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2020

745V
Oct.29-30
745V
Peters
54%
Peters
54%

Peters

54%

James

44%

Squier

0%
44%
JamesPeters+10
993LV
Oct.25-30
993LV
Peters
54%
Peters
54%

Peters

54%

James

43%
43%
James  Peters+11
953RV
Oct.23-30
953RV
Peters
52%
Peters
52%

Peters

52%

James

39%

Squier

3%
39%
JamesPeters+13
907LV
Oct.23-30
907LV
Peters
52%
Peters
52%

Peters

52%

James

40%

Squier

3%
40%
JamesPeters+12

Oct. 28, 2020

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2020

817LV
Oct.29
817LV
Peters
50%
Peters
50%

Peters

50%

James

45%

Dern

2%

Squier

0%

Willis

0%
45%
JamesPeters+5
800LV
Oct.27-29
800LV
Peters
50%
Peters
50%

Peters

50%

James

41%
41%
James  Peters+9

Oct. 27, 2020

U.S. Senate, Michigan, 2020

600LV
Oct.25-28
600LV
Peters
47%
Peters
47%

Peters

47%

James

42%
42%
James  Peters+5
669LV
Oct.21-28
669LV
Peters
51%
Peters
51%

Peters

51%

James

38%
38%
James  Peters+13
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