UPDATED Sep. 16, 2021, at 9:55 AM

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Who’s ahead in Michigan?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 1, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 31-Nov 1, 2020
450 LV
Oct 31-Nov 1, 2020
450LVPeters
52%

Peters

52%

James

37%
37%
JamesPeters+15
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
383 LV
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
383LVPeters
51%

Peters

51%

James

46%
46%
JamesPeters+5
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
393 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
393LVPeters
54%

Peters

54%

James

46%
46%
JamesPeters+7
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 22-31, 2020
1,736 LV
Oct 22-31, 2020
1,736LVPeters
49%

Peters

49%

James

43%
43%
JamesPeters+6

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 31, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
654 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
654LVPeters
51%

Peters

51%

James

44%
44%
JamesPeters+7
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 29-31, 2020
700 LV
Oct 29-31, 2020
700LVPeters
52%

Peters

52%

James

46%
46%
JamesPeters+6
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 25-30, 2020
993 LV
Oct 25-30, 2020
993LVPeters
54%

Peters

54%

James

43%
43%
JamesPeters+11
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 29, 2020
817 LV
Oct 29, 2020
817LVPeters
50%

Peters

50%

James

45%

Dern

2%

Squier

0%

Willis

0%
MorePeters+5
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 25-28, 2020
600 LV
Oct 25-28, 2020
600LVPeters
47%

Peters

47%

James

42%
42%
JamesPeters+5

Oct. 30, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 23-30, 2020
953 RV
Oct 23-30, 2020
953RVPeters
52%

Peters

52%

James

39%

Squier

3%
MorePeters+13
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 23-30, 2020
907 LV
Oct 23-30, 2020
907LVPeters
52%

Peters

52%

James

40%

Squier

3%
MorePeters+12
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 27-29, 2020
800 LV
Oct 27-29, 2020
800LVPeters
50%

Peters

50%

James

41%
41%
JamesPeters+9

Oct. 29, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 29-30, 2020
745 V
Oct 29-30, 2020
745VPeters
54%

Peters

54%

James

44%

Squier

0%
MorePeters+10
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 21-28, 2020
669 LV
Oct 21-28, 2020
669LVPeters
51%

Peters

51%

James

38%
38%
JamesPeters+13
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 23-26, 2020
365 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
365LVPeters
58%

Peters

58%

James

42%
42%
JamesPeters+17

Oct. 28, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Mich.Mich.
Oct 17-20, 2020
1,000 LV
Oct 17-20, 2020
1,000LVPeters
46%

Peters

46%

James

42%
42%
JamesPeters+4
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